days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
25%
25%
50%
Gamba Osaka 25%
Draw 25%
Fagiano Okayama 50%
1.0 – 1.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
48%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
GOS · at home
OKA · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.64x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.04x
1.12x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.02x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Newcastle Jets (A) 1-3 · 13 Oct 2026
Substitutes
31
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Avispa Fukuoka (A) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
0.67
1-3-5
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.44
4-1-4
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Fagiano Okayama away +20% on points per game vs Gamba Osaka at home (1.20 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
39
days rest
Newcastle Jets 1-3 Gamba Osaka
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
42
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
11%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
2.80
Scored
0.89
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.78
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
25%
60%
Clean sheets
11%
25%
0%
Failed to score
56%
75%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
44%
50%
40%
Goals per game
2.67
2.25
3.00
Scored
1.33
1.25
1.40
Conceded
1.33
1.00
1.60
Both teams scored
78%
50%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
50%
0%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
89%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
78%
79%
Over 2.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
56%
53%
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
22%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
67% 6/9
22% 2/9
44%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
59%
BTTS & win
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
22%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
56%
–
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
44%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
17%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
44%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.40 away
Gamba Osaka scored 4 in 4 home games
Fagiano Okayama scored 7 in 5 away games
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Scored over 0.5
44% 4/9
89% 8/9
Scored over 1.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
Failed to score
56% 5/9
11% 1/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
1.60 away
Gamba Osaka conceded 6 in 4 home games
Fagiano Okayama conceded 8 in 5 away games
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Conceded over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
67% 6/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
8
Without a win last win 9 games ago
5
Conceded in a row
4
Failed to score in a row
2
Lost in a row
6
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
League
Corners
Corners won
4.78
5.89
–
Corners conceded
6.22
3.78
–
Match total
11.00
9.67
9.11
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
67% 6/9
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.11
1.78
–
Opponent cards
1.89
1.67
–
Match total
3.00
3.44
2.91
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Shots
Shots
13.89
14.22
–
Opponent shots
16.67
10.56
–
Match total
30.56
24.78
26.86
Shots on target
On target
4.22
3.22
–
Opponent on target
5.89
3.00
–
Match total
10.11
6.22
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.22
12.11
–
Opponent fouls
11.56
10.89
–
Match total
22.78
23.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.67
2.25
–
Opponent offsides
1.89
2.63
–
Match total
3.56
4.88
–
Possession
All games
55%
44%
–
Home games
54%
40%
–
Away games
56%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Gamba Osaka
Scored · 8
13%
0%
25%
0%
12%
50%
Conceded · 16
13%
12%
12%
19%
0%
44%
Fagiano Okayama
Scored · 12
17%
17%
25%
17%
8%
16%
Conceded · 12
17%
25%
25%
0%
8%
25%
0%
Scored first
75%
50%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Gamba Osaka 0 of 8, Fagiano Okayama 6 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
11%44%44%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 4
0.78
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 5
At half-time
11%67%22%
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 5
5
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 4 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 6 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
