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1 Nov 2026-7:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
70%
17%
13%
Machida Zelvia 70%
Draw 17%
Gamba Osaka 13%
2.6 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
9% chance
Most Likely Score
70%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Machida Zelvia · at home
GOS · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
0.80
1.75
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.28x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.60x
1.30x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.28x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Kyoto Sanga (A) 0-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Newcastle Jets (A) 1-3 · 13 Oct 2026
Substitutes
31
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
D
W
W
W
2.22
6-2-1
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
2.60
4-1-0
PPG Away
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
0.67
1-3-5
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Machida Zelvia at home +338% on points per game vs Gamba Osaka away (1.75 vs 0.40)
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Machida Zelvia
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
19
days rest
Newcastle Jets 1-3 Gamba Osaka
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
67%
50%
80%
Goals per game
3.56
3.75
3.40
Scored
2.44
2.00
2.80
Conceded
1.11
1.75
0.60
Both teams scored
78%
100%
60%
Clean sheets
22%
0%
40%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
11%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
2.80
Scored
0.89
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.78
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
25%
60%
Clean sheets
11%
25%
0%
Failed to score
56%
75%
40%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
89% 8/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
79%
Over 2.5
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
50%
53%
Over 3.5
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
44%
31%
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
Under 2.5
33% 3/9
67% 6/9
50%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
78% 7/9
44% 4/9
61%
59%
BTTS & win
44% 4/9
11% 1/9
28%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
44%
–
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
72%
–
Over 1.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
33%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
BTTS
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
0.80 away
Machida Zelvia scored 8 in 4 home games
Gamba Osaka scored 4 in 5 away games
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Scored over 0.5
100% 9/9
44% 4/9
Scored over 1.5
67% 6/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
44% 4/9
11% 1/9
Failed to score
0% 0/9
56% 5/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.75 at home
2.00 away
Machida Zelvia conceded 7 in 4 home games
Gamba Osaka conceded 10 in 5 away games
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
Conceded over 1.5
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
Conceded over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Streaks
1
Won last game
9
Scored all 9 this season
3
Longest win run this season
8
Without a win last win 9 games ago
5
Conceded in a row
4
Failed to score in a row
Match Totals
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Gamba Osaka
GOS
League
Corners
Corners won
4.44
4.78
–
Corners conceded
4.00
6.22
–
Match total
8.44
11.00
9.11
Over 8.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.00
1.11
–
Opponent cards
1.44
1.89
–
Match total
2.44
3.00
2.91
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
–
Shots
Shots
13.67
13.89
–
Opponent shots
14.00
16.67
–
Match total
27.67
30.56
26.86
Shots on target
On target
5.11
4.22
–
Opponent on target
3.67
5.89
–
Match total
8.78
10.11
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.22
11.22
–
Opponent fouls
12.22
11.56
–
Match total
22.44
22.78
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.89
1.67
–
Opponent offsides
1.78
1.89
–
Match total
3.67
3.56
–
Possession
All games
49%
55%
–
Home games
44%
54%
–
Away games
53%
56%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Machida Zelvia
Scored · 22
4%
9%
23%
9%
23%
32%
Conceded · 10
20%
10%
10%
40%
10%
10%
Gamba Osaka
Scored · 8
13%
0%
25%
0%
12%
50%
Conceded · 16
13%
12%
12%
19%
0%
44%
56%
Scored first
0%
32%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Machida Zelvia 5 of 9, Gamba Osaka 0 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
44%44%11%
Leading 4
Level 4
Trailing 1
1.78
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 14
At half-time
11%44%44%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 4
0.78
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 5
8
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 8 games
5
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
