days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
62%
23%
15%
Avispa Fukuoka 62%
Draw 23%
Gamba Osaka 15%
1.7 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
43%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FUK · at home
GOS · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
0.80
1.17
Goals conceded per game
2.00
0.85x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.60x
0.87x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.28x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Fagiano Okayama (H) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Newcastle Jets (A) 1-3 · 13 Oct 2026
Substitutes
31
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
W
L
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Overall
1.17
2-1-3
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-3
PPG Away
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
0.67
1-3-5
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Avispa Fukuoka at home +193% on points per game vs Gamba Osaka away (1.17 vs 0.40)
Rest & Schedule
11
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
1 game in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
8
days rest
Newcastle Jets 1-3 Gamba Osaka
2 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
6
3
Win %
22%
33%
0%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
3.00
Scored
1.22
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.44
1.17
2.00
Both teams scored
56%
50%
67%
Clean sheets
11%
17%
0%
Failed to score
33%
33%
33%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
11%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
2.80
Scored
0.89
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.78
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
25%
60%
Clean sheets
11%
25%
0%
Failed to score
56%
75%
40%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
89% 8/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
79%
Over 2.5
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
44%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
31%
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
Under 2.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
56%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
56% 5/9
44% 4/9
50%
59%
BTTS & win
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
39%
–
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
67% 6/9
67% 6/9
67%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.80 away
Avispa Fukuoka scored 8 in 6 home games
Gamba Osaka scored 4 in 5 away games
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Scored over 0.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
Scored over 1.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
Failed to score
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.17 at home
2.00 away
Avispa Fukuoka conceded 7 in 6 home games
Gamba Osaka conceded 10 in 5 away games
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
Gamba Osaka
GOS
Conceded over 0.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
Conceded over 1.5
33% 3/9
67% 6/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
Streaks
1
Won last game
7
Conceded in a row
8
Without a win last win 9 games ago
5
Conceded in a row
4
Failed to score in a row
Match Totals
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
Gamba Osaka
GOS
League
Corners
Corners won
4.44
4.78
–
Corners conceded
3.22
6.22
–
Match total
7.67
11.00
9.11
Over 8.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 10.5
11% 1/9
56% 5/9
–
Cards
Cards
2.22
1.11
–
Opponent cards
1.33
1.89
–
Match total
3.56
3.00
2.91
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 4.5
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
–
Shots
Shots
12.78
13.89
–
Opponent shots
13.11
16.67
–
Match total
25.89
30.56
26.86
Shots on target
On target
4.89
4.22
–
Opponent on target
4.22
5.89
–
Match total
9.11
10.11
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.67
11.22
–
Opponent fouls
9.89
11.56
–
Match total
23.56
22.78
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.67
1.67
–
Opponent offsides
1.78
1.89
–
Match total
3.44
3.56
–
Possession
All games
40%
55%
–
Home games
37%
54%
–
Away games
48%
56%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Avispa Fukuoka
Scored · 11
9%
9%
37%
9%
9%
27%
Conceded · 13
15%
8%
8%
8%
38%
23%
Gamba Osaka
Scored · 8
13%
0%
25%
0%
12%
50%
Conceded · 16
13%
12%
12%
19%
0%
44%
33%
Scored first
0%
27%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Avispa Fukuoka 3 of 9, Gamba Osaka 0 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%44%22%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.44
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 5
At half-time
11%44%44%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 4
0.78
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 5
0
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 8 games
5
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
