days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
42%
29%
29%
Fagiano Okayama 42%
Draw 29%
Mito Hollyhock 29%
1.2 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
36%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
OKA · at home
MIT · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
1.25
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.50
0.80x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.93x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.96x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Avispa Fukuoka (A) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Shimizu S-pulse (H) 1-2 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
48
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.44
4-1-4
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
D
W
D
L
1.00
2-3-4
PPG Overall
1.00
1-2-2
PPG at Home
1.00
1-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Fagiano Okayama at home +75% on points per game vs Mito Hollyhock away (1.75 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
11
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
1 game in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
10
days rest
Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse
1 game in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
44%
50%
40%
Goals per game
2.67
2.25
3.00
Scored
1.33
1.25
1.40
Conceded
1.33
1.00
1.60
Both teams scored
78%
50%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
50%
0%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
22%
20%
25%
Goals per game
2.78
2.80
2.75
Scored
1.33
1.40
1.25
Conceded
1.44
1.40
1.50
Both teams scored
78%
80%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
22%
20%
25%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
100% 9/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
83%
79%
Over 2.5
78% 7/9
44% 4/9
61%
53%
Over 3.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
17%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
39%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
78%
59%
BTTS & win
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
78% 7/9
44% 4/9
61%
–
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
72%
–
Over 1.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
56%
–
Over 2.5
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
11%
–
BTTS
67% 6/9
11% 1/9
39%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
1.25 away
Fagiano Okayama scored 5 in 4 home games
Mito Hollyhock scored 5 in 4 away games
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Scored over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
Scored over 1.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Failed to score
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.50 away
Fagiano Okayama conceded 4 in 4 home games
Mito Hollyhock conceded 6 in 4 away games
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
100% 9/9
Conceded over 1.5
56% 5/9
44% 4/9
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
Streaks
2
Lost in a row
6
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
9
Conceded all 9 this season
Match Totals
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
League
Corners
Corners won
5.89
4.67
–
Corners conceded
3.78
3.44
–
Match total
9.67
8.11
9.11
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 9.5
56% 5/9
11% 1/9
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.78
1.33
–
Opponent cards
1.67
1.00
–
Match total
3.44
2.33
2.91
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 4.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
14.22
11.33
–
Opponent shots
10.56
14.56
–
Match total
24.78
25.89
26.86
Shots on target
On target
3.22
3.44
–
Opponent on target
3.00
5.11
–
Match total
6.22
8.56
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.11
10.00
–
Opponent fouls
10.89
9.33
–
Match total
23.00
19.33
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.25
3.11
–
Opponent offsides
2.63
1.44
–
Match total
4.88
4.56
–
Possession
All games
44%
45%
–
Home games
40%
43%
–
Away games
47%
48%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fagiano Okayama
Scored · 12
17%
17%
25%
17%
8%
16%
Conceded · 12
17%
25%
25%
0%
8%
25%
Mito Hollyhock
Scored · 12
9%
33%
8%
25%
17%
8%
Conceded · 13
16%
0%
15%
23%
15%
31%
75%
Scored first
56%
17%
Goals after 75'
8%
Scored first: Fagiano Okayama 6 of 8, Mito Hollyhock 5 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
11%67%22%
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 5
At half-time
33%44%22%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.44
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 6
0
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 5 games
1
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 5 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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