days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
52%
26%
22%
Gamba Osaka 52%
Draw 26%
JEF United Chiba 22%
1.5 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
44%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
GOS · at home
CHI · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded per game
2.40
0.64x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.60x
1.12x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.53x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Newcastle Jets (A) 1-3 · 13 Oct 2026
Substitutes
31
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs V-varen Nagasaki (H) 1-1 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
0.67
1-3-5
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Away
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
W
L
L
L
L
L
0.56
1-2-6
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Gamba Osaka at home +400% on points per game vs JEF United Chiba away (1.00 vs 0.20)
Rest & Schedule
186
days rest
Newcastle Jets 1-3 Gamba Osaka
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
188
days rest
JEF United Chiba 1-1 V-varen Nagasaki
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
11%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
2.80
Scored
0.89
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.78
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
25%
60%
Clean sheets
11%
25%
0%
Failed to score
56%
75%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
11%
25%
0%
Goals per game
3.00
2.75
3.20
Scored
0.89
1.00
0.80
Conceded
2.11
1.75
2.40
Both teams scored
56%
50%
60%
Clean sheets
11%
25%
0%
Failed to score
33%
25%
40%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Gamba Osaka
GOS
JEF United Chiba
CHI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
100% 9/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
100% 9/9
89%
79%
Over 2.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
44%
53%
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
56%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
59%
BTTS & win
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
6%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
–
Gamba Osaka
GOS
JEF United Chiba
CHI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
0.80 away
Gamba Osaka scored 4 in 4 home games
JEF United Chiba scored 4 in 5 away games
Gamba Osaka
GOS
JEF United Chiba
CHI
Scored over 0.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
Scored over 1.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
2.40 away
Gamba Osaka conceded 6 in 4 home games
JEF United Chiba conceded 12 in 5 away games
Gamba Osaka
GOS
JEF United Chiba
CHI
Conceded over 0.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
Conceded over 1.5
67% 6/9
67% 6/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
Clean sheets
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
Streaks
8
Without a win last win 9 games ago
5
Conceded in a row
4
Failed to score in a row
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
6
Scored in a row
3
Conceded in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Gamba Osaka
GOS
JEF United Chiba
CHI
League
Corners
Corners won
4.78
3.11
–
Corners conceded
6.22
5.56
–
Match total
11.00
8.67
9.11
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 10.5
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.11
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.89
1.22
–
Match total
3.00
3.22
2.91
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
13.89
10.33
–
Opponent shots
16.67
18.00
–
Match total
30.56
28.33
26.86
Shots on target
On target
4.22
3.78
–
Opponent on target
5.89
4.67
–
Match total
10.11
8.44
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.22
12.67
–
Opponent fouls
11.56
9.11
–
Match total
22.78
21.78
–
Possession
All games
55%
44%
–
Home games
54%
44%
–
Away games
56%
44%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Gamba Osaka
Scored · 8
13%
0%
25%
0%
12%
50%
Conceded · 16
13%
12%
12%
19%
0%
44%
JEF United Chiba
Scored · 8
25%
25%
25%
25%
0%
0%
Conceded · 19
11%
5%
26%
5%
16%
37%
0%
Scored first
44%
50%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: Gamba Osaka 0 of 8, JEF United Chiba 4 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
11%44%44%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 4
0.78
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 5
At half-time
33%33%33%
Leading 3
Level 3
Trailing 3
1.33
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 2
5
Points won from losing positions in 8 · 6 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 4 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
