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6 Mar 2027-11:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
60%
21%
19%
Vissel Kobe 60%
Draw 21%
Fagiano Okayama 19%
2.0 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
60%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
KOB · at home
OKA · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.28x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.04x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.02x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Kashiwa Reysol (A) 4-2 · 9 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Avispa Fukuoka (A) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
D
W
2.11
6-1-2
PPG Overall
2.50
3-1-0
PPG at Home
1.80
3-0-2
PPG Away
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.44
4-1-4
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Vissel Kobe at home +108% on points per game vs Fagiano Okayama away (2.50 vs 1.20)
Rest & Schedule
148
days rest
Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 Vissel Kobe
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
147
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
67%
75%
60%
Goals per game
2.56
3.00
2.20
Scored
1.56
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
44%
75%
20%
Clean sheets
44%
25%
60%
Failed to score
11%
0%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
44%
50%
40%
Goals per game
2.67
2.25
3.00
Scored
1.33
1.25
1.40
Conceded
1.33
1.00
1.60
Both teams scored
78%
50%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
50%
0%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Vissel Kobe
KOB
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
89% 8/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
56% 5/9
78% 7/9
67%
79%
Over 2.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
53%
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
22%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
39%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
59%
BTTS & win
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
–
Vissel Kobe
KOB
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
44%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
11%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
39%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.40 away
Vissel Kobe scored 8 in 4 home games
Fagiano Okayama scored 7 in 5 away games
Vissel Kobe
KOB
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Scored over 0.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
Scored over 1.5
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
Failed to score
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.60 away
Vissel Kobe conceded 4 in 4 home games
Fagiano Okayama conceded 8 in 5 away games
Vissel Kobe
KOB
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Conceded over 0.5
56% 5/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 2.5
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
1
Lost last game
6
Scored in a row
5
Longest win run this season
2
Lost in a row
6
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Vissel Kobe
KOB
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
League
Corners
Corners won
3.67
5.89
–
Corners conceded
4.11
3.78
–
Match total
7.78
9.67
9.11
Over 8.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
0.67
1.78
–
Opponent cards
2.11
1.67
–
Match total
2.78
3.44
2.91
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Shots
Shots
11.89
14.22
–
Opponent shots
12.33
10.56
–
Match total
24.22
24.78
26.86
Shots on target
On target
4.22
3.22
–
Opponent on target
2.67
3.00
–
Match total
6.89
6.22
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.33
12.11
–
Opponent fouls
14.22
10.89
–
Match total
23.56
23.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.44
2.25
–
Opponent offsides
2.33
2.63
–
Match total
3.78
4.88
–
Possession
All games
51%
44%
–
Home games
53%
40%
–
Away games
50%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Vissel Kobe
Scored · 14
7%
14%
14%
22%
7%
36%
Conceded · 9
11%
11%
11%
11%
34%
22%
Fagiano Okayama
Scored · 12
17%
17%
25%
17%
8%
16%
Conceded · 12
17%
25%
25%
0%
8%
25%
67%
Scored first
75%
36%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Vissel Kobe 6 of 9, Fagiano Okayama 6 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%44%22%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.44
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 9
At half-time
11%67%22%
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 5
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 4 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 6 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
