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3 Apr 2027-10:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
96%
Tokyo Verdy 1%
Draw 3%
Machida Zelvia 96%
0.2 – 3.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-3
17% chance
Most Likely Score
76%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
VER · at home
Machida Zelvia · away
0.50
Goals scored per game
2.80
1.83
Goals conceded per game
0.60
0.32x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
2.08x
1.36x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.38x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (H) 0-2 · 11 Oct 2026
17
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Kyoto Sanga (A) 0-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
D
L
D
0.44
0-4-5
PPG Overall
0.33
0-2-4
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
D
W
W
W
2.22
6-2-1
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
2.60
4-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Machida Zelvia away +688% on points per game vs Tokyo Verdy at home (2.60 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
174
days rest
Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
175
days rest
Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Machida Zelvia
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
6
3
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
2.33
1.33
Scored
0.44
0.50
0.33
Conceded
1.56
1.83
1.00
Both teams scored
44%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
22%
0%
67%
Failed to score
56%
50%
67%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
67%
50%
80%
Goals per game
3.56
3.75
3.40
Scored
2.44
2.00
2.80
Conceded
1.11
1.75
0.60
Both teams scored
78%
100%
60%
Clean sheets
22%
0%
40%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
100% 9/9
89%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
83%
79%
Over 2.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
44%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
39%
31%
Over 4.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
78% 7/9
33% 3/9
56%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
59%
BTTS & win
0% 0/9
44% 4/9
22%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
39%
–
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
33%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.50 at home
2.80 away
Tokyo Verdy scored 3 in 6 home games
Machida Zelvia scored 14 in 5 away games
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Scored over 0.5
44% 4/9
100% 9/9
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/9
67% 6/9
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/9
44% 4/9
Failed to score
56% 5/9
0% 0/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.83 at home
0.60 away
Tokyo Verdy conceded 11 in 6 home games
Machida Zelvia conceded 3 in 5 away games
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
56% 5/9
11% 1/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
9
Without a win all 9 this season
3
Conceded in a row
1
Won last game
9
Scored all 9 this season
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Machida Zelvia
MAC
League
Corners
Corners won
3.67
4.44
–
Corners conceded
5.33
4.00
–
Match total
9.00
8.44
9.11
Over 8.5
56% 5/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.56
1.00
–
Opponent cards
1.56
1.44
–
Match total
3.11
2.44
2.91
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
–
Shots
Shots
9.33
13.67
–
Opponent shots
15.33
14.00
–
Match total
24.67
27.67
26.86
Shots on target
On target
2.33
5.11
–
Opponent on target
4.67
3.67
–
Match total
7.00
8.78
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.22
10.22
–
Opponent fouls
11.00
12.22
–
Match total
25.22
22.44
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.57
1.89
–
Opponent offsides
0.71
1.78
–
Match total
2.29
3.67
–
Possession
All games
43%
49%
–
Home games
43%
44%
–
Away games
43%
53%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Tokyo Verdy
Scored · 4
25%
0%
0%
25%
25%
25%
Conceded · 14
7%
14%
22%
36%
7%
14%
Machida Zelvia
Scored · 22
4%
9%
23%
9%
23%
32%
Conceded · 10
20%
10%
10%
40%
10%
10%
29%
Scored first
56%
25%
Goals after 75'
32%
Scored first: Tokyo Verdy 2 of 7, Machida Zelvia 5 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
67%33%
Leading 0
Level 6
Trailing 3
0.67
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
At half-time
44%44%11%
Leading 4
Level 4
Trailing 1
1.78
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 14
1
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 5 games
8
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 7 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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