days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
54%
19%
27%
Kashiwa Reysol 54%
Draw 19%
Fagiano Okayama 27%
2.6 – 1.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
7% chance
Most Likely Score
81%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
KAS · at home
OKA · away
2.50
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.75
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.60x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.04x
1.30x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.02x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Vissel Kobe (H) 4-2 · 9 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Avispa Fukuoka (A) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
2.33
7-0-2
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
2.40
4-0-1
PPG Away
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.44
4-1-4
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Kashiwa Reysol at home +88% on points per game vs Fagiano Okayama away (2.25 vs 1.20)
Rest & Schedule
155
days rest
Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 Vissel Kobe
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
154
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
78%
75%
80%
Goals per game
3.89
4.25
3.60
Scored
2.33
2.50
2.20
Conceded
1.56
1.75
1.40
Both teams scored
67%
75%
60%
Clean sheets
11%
0%
20%
Failed to score
22%
25%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
44%
50%
40%
Goals per game
2.67
2.25
3.00
Scored
1.33
1.25
1.40
Conceded
1.33
1.00
1.60
Both teams scored
78%
50%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
50%
0%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Kashiwa Reysol
KAS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
89% 8/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
79%
Over 2.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
53%
Over 3.5
56% 5/9
11% 1/9
33%
31%
Over 4.5
44% 4/9
11% 1/9
28%
–
Under 2.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
59%
BTTS & win
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
50%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
–
Kashiwa Reysol
KAS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
67% 6/9
50%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
11%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
39%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
1.40 away
Kashiwa Reysol scored 10 in 4 home games
Fagiano Okayama scored 7 in 5 away games
Kashiwa Reysol
KAS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Scored over 0.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
Scored over 1.5
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
Scored over 2.5
56% 5/9
11% 1/9
Failed to score
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.75 at home
1.60 away
Kashiwa Reysol conceded 7 in 4 home games
Fagiano Okayama conceded 8 in 5 away games
Kashiwa Reysol
KAS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Conceded over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
67% 6/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
3
Won in a row
5
Conceded in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
4
Longest win run this season
2
Lost in a row
6
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Kashiwa Reysol
KAS
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
League
Corners
Corners won
5.56
5.89
–
Corners conceded
3.67
3.78
–
Match total
9.22
9.67
9.11
Over 8.5
56% 5/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.11
1.78
–
Opponent cards
0.89
1.67
–
Match total
2.00
3.44
2.91
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Shots
Shots
15.44
14.22
–
Opponent shots
11.33
10.56
–
Match total
26.78
24.78
26.86
Shots on target
On target
5.44
3.22
–
Opponent on target
3.44
3.00
–
Match total
8.89
6.22
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.89
12.11
–
Opponent fouls
8.89
10.89
–
Match total
17.78
23.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.88
2.25
–
Opponent offsides
1.38
2.63
–
Match total
3.25
4.88
–
Possession
All games
58%
44%
–
Home games
57%
40%
–
Away games
59%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Kashiwa Reysol
Scored · 21
14%
5%
5%
19%
33%
24%
Conceded · 14
14%
14%
14%
22%
14%
22%
Fagiano Okayama
Scored · 12
17%
17%
25%
17%
8%
16%
Conceded · 12
17%
25%
25%
0%
8%
25%
44%
Scored first
75%
24%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Kashiwa Reysol 4 of 9, Fagiano Okayama 6 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%22%44%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 4
1.22
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 16
At half-time
11%67%22%
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 5
12
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 4 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 6 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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