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9 May 2027-10:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
37%
25%
38%
Mito Hollyhock 37%
Draw 25%
Fagiano Okayama 38%
1.4 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
55%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MIT · at home
OKA · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.89x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.04x
1.04x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.02x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Shimizu S-pulse (H) 1-2 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
48
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Avispa Fukuoka (A) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
D
W
D
L
1.00
2-3-4
PPG Overall
1.00
1-2-2
PPG at Home
1.00
1-1-2
PPG Away
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.44
4-1-4
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Fagiano Okayama away +20% on points per game vs Mito Hollyhock at home (1.20 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
210
days rest
Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
211
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
22%
20%
25%
Goals per game
2.78
2.80
2.75
Scored
1.33
1.40
1.25
Conceded
1.44
1.40
1.50
Both teams scored
78%
80%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
22%
20%
25%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
44%
50%
40%
Goals per game
2.67
2.25
3.00
Scored
1.33
1.25
1.40
Conceded
1.33
1.00
1.60
Both teams scored
78%
50%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
50%
0%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
89% 8/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
79%
Over 2.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
39%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
78%
59%
BTTS & win
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
–
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
67% 6/9
78% 7/9
72%
–
Over 1.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
56%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
11%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
39%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.40 at home
1.40 away
Mito Hollyhock scored 7 in 5 home games
Fagiano Okayama scored 7 in 5 away games
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Scored over 0.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
Scored over 1.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
Scored over 2.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Failed to score
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.40 at home
1.60 away
Mito Hollyhock conceded 7 in 5 home games
Fagiano Okayama conceded 8 in 5 away games
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Conceded over 0.5
100% 9/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
9
Conceded all 9 this season
2
Lost in a row
6
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
League
Corners
Corners won
4.67
5.89
–
Corners conceded
3.44
3.78
–
Match total
8.11
9.67
9.11
Over 8.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
11% 1/9
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.33
1.78
–
Opponent cards
1.00
1.67
–
Match total
2.33
3.44
2.91
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
–
Shots
Shots
11.33
14.22
–
Opponent shots
14.56
10.56
–
Match total
25.89
24.78
26.86
Shots on target
On target
3.44
3.22
–
Opponent on target
5.11
3.00
–
Match total
8.56
6.22
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.00
12.11
–
Opponent fouls
9.33
10.89
–
Match total
19.33
23.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.11
2.25
–
Opponent offsides
1.44
2.63
–
Match total
4.56
4.88
–
Possession
All games
45%
44%
–
Home games
43%
40%
–
Away games
48%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Mito Hollyhock
Scored · 12
9%
33%
8%
25%
17%
8%
Conceded · 13
16%
0%
15%
23%
15%
31%
Fagiano Okayama
Scored · 12
17%
17%
25%
17%
8%
16%
Conceded · 12
17%
25%
25%
0%
8%
25%
56%
Scored first
75%
8%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Mito Hollyhock 5 of 9, Fagiano Okayama 6 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%44%22%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.44
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 6
At half-time
11%67%22%
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 5
1
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 4 games
0
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 6 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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