days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
80%
15%
Fagiano Okayama 80%
Draw 15%
Cerezo Osaka 5%
2.2 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
18% chance
Most Likely Score
47%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
OKA · at home
COS · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.75
0.80x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.37x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.76x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Avispa Fukuoka (A) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Yokohama F. Marinos (H) 0-0 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
D
W
L
1.44
4-1-4
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
D
D
L
D
W
D
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
1.33
3-3-3
PPG Overall
2.20
3-2-0
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Fagiano Okayama at home +600% on points per game vs Cerezo Osaka away (1.75 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
196
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
196
days rest
Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
44%
50%
40%
Goals per game
2.67
2.25
3.00
Scored
1.33
1.25
1.40
Conceded
1.33
1.00
1.60
Both teams scored
78%
50%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
50%
0%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
33%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.20
3.25
Scored
0.78
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.33
0.20
2.75
Both teams scored
33%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
44%
80%
0%
Failed to score
44%
40%
50%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
67%
79%
Over 2.5
78% 7/9
33% 3/9
56%
53%
Over 3.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
22% 2/9
67% 6/9
44%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
78% 7/9
33% 3/9
56%
59%
BTTS & win
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
22%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
78% 7/9
22% 2/9
50%
–
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
67%
–
Over 1.5
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
50%
–
Over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
BTTS
67% 6/9
11% 1/9
39%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
0.50 away
Fagiano Okayama scored 5 in 4 home games
Cerezo Osaka scored 2 in 4 away games
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Scored over 0.5
89% 8/9
56% 5/9
Scored over 1.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
11% 1/9
44% 4/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.75 away
Fagiano Okayama conceded 4 in 4 home games
Cerezo Osaka conceded 11 in 4 away games
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 1.5
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
Streaks
2
Lost in a row
6
Scored in a row
6
Conceded in a row
6
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
Match Totals
Fagiano Okayama
OKA
Cerezo Osaka
COS
League
Corners
Corners won
5.89
5.89
–
Corners conceded
3.78
6.00
–
Match total
9.67
11.89
9.11
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
89% 8/9
–
Over 9.5
56% 5/9
78% 7/9
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.78
1.56
–
Opponent cards
1.67
0.89
–
Match total
3.44
2.44
2.91
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 4.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
14.22
12.11
–
Opponent shots
10.56
13.00
–
Match total
24.78
25.11
26.86
Shots on target
On target
3.22
3.22
–
Opponent on target
3.00
4.44
–
Match total
6.22
7.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.11
9.33
–
Opponent fouls
10.89
10.33
–
Match total
23.00
19.67
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.25
1.44
–
Opponent offsides
2.63
3.67
–
Match total
4.88
5.11
–
Possession
All games
44%
56%
–
Home games
40%
55%
–
Away games
47%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fagiano Okayama
Scored · 12
17%
17%
25%
17%
8%
16%
Conceded · 12
17%
25%
25%
0%
8%
25%
Cerezo Osaka
Scored · 7
0%
43%
0%
14%
29%
14%
Conceded · 12
17%
8%
33%
17%
17%
8%
75%
Scored first
29%
17%
Goals after 75'
14%
Scored first: Fagiano Okayama 6 of 8, Cerezo Osaka 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
11%67%22%
Leading 1
Level 6
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 5
At half-time
22%44%33%
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 3
1.11
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 4
0
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 5 games
4
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 3 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
