days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
13%
23%
64%
Avispa Fukuoka 13%
Draw 23%
FC Tokyo 64%
0.6 – 1.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
16% chance
Most Likely Score
42%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FUK · at home
TOK · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
2.00
1.17
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.85x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.49x
0.87x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.48x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Fagiano Okayama (H) 2-1 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Urawa (H) 3-0 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
L
L
W
L
0.78
2-1-6
PPG Overall
1.17
2-1-3
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-3
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
L
2.22
6-2-1
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
2-2-0
PPG Away
Venue form: FC Tokyo away +71% on points per game vs Avispa Fukuoka at home (2.00 vs 1.17)
Rest & Schedule
64
days rest
Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Fagiano Okayama
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
64
days rest
FC Tokyo 3-0 Urawa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
6
3
Win %
22%
33%
0%
Goals per game
2.67
2.50
3.00
Scored
1.22
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.44
1.17
2.00
Both teams scored
56%
50%
67%
Clean sheets
11%
17%
0%
Failed to score
33%
33%
33%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
67%
80%
50%
Goals per game
2.78
2.80
2.75
Scored
1.89
1.80
2.00
Conceded
0.89
1.00
0.75
Both teams scored
33%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
67%
80%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
FC Tokyo
TOK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
100% 9/9
100%
–
Over 1.5
67% 6/9
89% 8/9
78%
79%
Over 2.5
56% 5/9
44% 4/9
50%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
31%
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
Under 2.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
44%
59%
BTTS & win
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
6%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
33%
–
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
FC Tokyo
TOK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
56%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
2.00 away
Avispa Fukuoka scored 8 in 6 home games
FC Tokyo scored 8 in 4 away games
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
FC Tokyo
TOK
Scored over 0.5
67% 6/9
100% 9/9
Scored over 1.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Failed to score
33% 3/9
0% 0/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.17 at home
0.75 away
Avispa Fukuoka conceded 7 in 6 home games
FC Tokyo conceded 3 in 4 away games
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
FC Tokyo
TOK
Conceded over 0.5
89% 8/9
33% 3/9
Conceded over 1.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Clean sheets
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
Streaks
1
Won last game
7
Conceded in a row
8
Unbeaten last loss 9 games ago
9
Scored all 9 this season
4
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Avispa Fukuoka
FUK
FC Tokyo
TOK
League
Corners
Corners won
4.44
4.67
–
Corners conceded
3.22
4.44
–
Match total
7.67
9.11
9.11
Over 8.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 9.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 10.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
2.22
1.33
–
Opponent cards
1.33
0.78
–
Match total
3.56
2.11
2.91
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
11% 1/9
–
Over 4.5
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
–
Shots
Shots
12.78
15.22
–
Opponent shots
13.11
10.56
–
Match total
25.89
25.78
26.86
Shots on target
On target
4.89
4.78
–
Opponent on target
4.22
2.78
–
Match total
9.11
7.56
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.67
11.33
–
Opponent fouls
9.89
9.67
–
Match total
23.56
21.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.67
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.78
1.67
–
Match total
3.44
3.67
–
Possession
All games
40%
51%
–
Home games
37%
54%
–
Away games
48%
49%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Avispa Fukuoka
Scored · 11
9%
9%
37%
9%
9%
27%
Conceded · 13
15%
8%
8%
8%
38%
23%
FC Tokyo
Scored · 17
6%
0%
24%
23%
35%
12%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
25%
25%
12%
25%
33%
Scored first
100%
27%
Goals after 75'
12%
Scored first: Avispa Fukuoka 3 of 9, FC Tokyo 9 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%44%22%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.44
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 5
At half-time
22%67%11%
Leading 2
Level 6
Trailing 1
1.33
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 12
0
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 1 games
0
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 9 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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