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3 May 2027-10:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
38%
36%
26%
Tokyo Verdy 38%
Draw 36%
Cerezo Osaka 26%
0.9 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
21%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
VER · at home
COS · away
0.50
Goals scored per game
0.50
1.83
Goals conceded per game
2.75
0.32x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.37x
1.36x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.76x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (H) 0-2 · 11 Oct 2026
17
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Yokohama F. Marinos (H) 0-0 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
D
L
D
0.44
0-4-5
PPG Overall
0.33
0-2-4
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
D
D
L
D
W
D
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
1.33
3-3-3
PPG Overall
2.20
3-2-0
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Tokyo Verdy at home +32% on points per game vs Cerezo Osaka away (0.33 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
204
days rest
Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
205
days rest
Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
6
3
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
2.33
1.33
Scored
0.44
0.50
0.33
Conceded
1.56
1.83
1.00
Both teams scored
44%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
22%
0%
67%
Failed to score
56%
50%
67%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
33%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.20
3.25
Scored
0.78
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.33
0.20
2.75
Both teams scored
33%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
44%
80%
0%
Failed to score
44%
40%
50%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
78%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
67%
79%
Over 2.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
31%
Over 4.5
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
Under 2.5
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
72%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
39%
59%
BTTS & win
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
17%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.50 at home
0.50 away
Tokyo Verdy scored 3 in 6 home games
Cerezo Osaka scored 2 in 4 away games
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Scored over 0.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
56% 5/9
44% 4/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.83 at home
2.75 away
Tokyo Verdy conceded 11 in 6 home games
Cerezo Osaka conceded 11 in 4 away games
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 1.5
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
Streaks
9
Without a win all 9 this season
3
Conceded in a row
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
Match Totals
Tokyo Verdy
VER
Cerezo Osaka
COS
League
Corners
Corners won
3.67
5.89
–
Corners conceded
5.33
6.00
–
Match total
9.00
11.89
9.11
Over 8.5
56% 5/9
89% 8/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
78% 7/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.56
1.56
–
Opponent cards
1.56
0.89
–
Match total
3.11
2.44
2.91
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
9.33
12.11
–
Opponent shots
15.33
13.00
–
Match total
24.67
25.11
26.86
Shots on target
On target
2.33
3.22
–
Opponent on target
4.67
4.44
–
Match total
7.00
7.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.22
9.33
–
Opponent fouls
11.00
10.33
–
Match total
25.22
19.67
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.57
1.44
–
Opponent offsides
0.71
3.67
–
Match total
2.29
5.11
–
Possession
All games
43%
56%
–
Home games
43%
55%
–
Away games
43%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Tokyo Verdy
Scored · 4
25%
0%
0%
25%
25%
25%
Conceded · 14
7%
14%
22%
36%
7%
14%
Cerezo Osaka
Scored · 7
0%
43%
0%
14%
29%
14%
Conceded · 12
17%
8%
33%
17%
17%
8%
29%
Scored first
29%
25%
Goals after 75'
14%
Scored first: Tokyo Verdy 2 of 7, Cerezo Osaka 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
67%33%
Leading 0
Level 6
Trailing 3
0.67
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
At half-time
22%44%33%
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 3
1.11
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 5 games
4
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 3 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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