days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
FC Luzern 9%
Draw 12%
FC Lugano 79%
1.1 – 3.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-3
8% chance
Most Likely Score
80%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LUZ · at home
LUG · away
2.00
Goals scored per game
3.20
1.86
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.06x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.75x
1.02x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.53x
Average: 1.88 home goals and 1.83 away goals per game in Super League 2026-2027
Based on 13 + 12 Super League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs BSC Young Boys (H) 2-3 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Kauno Žalgiris (H) 3-0 · 5 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
W
D
W
1.00
3-4-6
PPG Overall
1.43
3-1-3
PPG at Home
0.50
0-3-3
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
2.83
11-1-0
PPG Overall
2.71
6-1-0
PPG at Home
3.00
5-0-0
PPG Away
Venue form: FC Lugano away +110% on points per game vs FC Luzern at home (3.00 vs 1.43)
Rest & Schedule
22
days rest
FC Luzern 2-3 BSC Young Boys
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
24
days rest
FC Lugano 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
13
7
6
Win %
23%
43%
0%
Goals per game
3.77
3.86
3.67
Scored
1.62
2.00
1.17
Conceded
2.15
1.86
2.50
Both teams scored
77%
86%
67%
Clean sheets
8%
14%
0%
Failed to score
15%
0%
33%
xG
1.83
2.14
1.46
xGA
2.09
1.66
2.60
Overall
Home
Away
Played
12
7
5
Win %
92%
86%
100%
Goals per game
3.83
3.57
4.20
Scored
3.00
2.86
3.20
Conceded
0.83
0.71
1.00
Both teams scored
67%
57%
80%
Clean sheets
33%
43%
20%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.72
1.75
1.67
xGA
1.29
1.30
1.27
Super League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
FC Luzern
LUZ
FC Lugano
LUG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 13/13
100% 12/12
100%
–
Over 1.5
92% 12/13
92% 11/12
92%
86%
Over 2.5
77% 10/13
92% 11/12
84%
74%
Over 3.5
54% 7/13
67% 8/12
60%
50%
Over 4.5
31% 4/13
33% 4/12
32%
–
Under 2.5
23% 3/13
8% 1/12
16%
26%
Both teams score
BTTS
77% 10/13
67% 8/12
72%
68%
BTTS & win
15% 2/13
58% 7/12
37%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
62% 8/13
67% 8/12
64%
–
FC Luzern
LUZ
FC Lugano
LUG
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
85% 11/13
83% 10/12
84%
–
Over 1.5
38% 5/13
50% 6/12
44%
–
Over 2.5
8% 1/13
25% 3/12
16%
–
BTTS
31% 4/13
25% 3/12
28%
–
% of each club's games · League = Super League 2026-2027 (76 games, 3.71 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
FC Luzern scored 14 in 7 home games
FC Lugano scored 16 in 5 away games
FC Luzern
LUZ
FC Lugano
LUG
Scored over 0.5
85% 11/13
100% 12/12
Scored over 1.5
46% 6/13
92% 11/12
Scored over 2.5
15% 2/13
58% 7/12
Failed to score
15% 2/13
0% 0/12
Goals conceded per game at this venue
FC Luzern conceded 13 in 7 home games
FC Lugano conceded 5 in 5 away games
FC Luzern
LUZ
FC Lugano
LUG
Conceded over 0.5
92% 12/13
67% 8/12
Conceded over 1.5
62% 8/13
17% 2/12
Conceded over 2.5
46% 6/13
0% 0/12
Clean sheets
8% 1/13
33% 4/12
Streaks
Match Totals
FC Luzern
LUZ
FC Lugano
LUG
League
Corners
Corners won
5.38
5.67
–
Corners conceded
5.38
4.33
–
Match total
10.77
10.00
10.63
Over 8.5
77% 10/13
50% 6/12
–
Over 9.5
54% 7/13
50% 6/12
–
Over 10.5
38% 5/13
42% 5/12
–
Cards
Cards
2.62
2.42
–
Opponent cards
2.46
2.25
–
Match total
5.08
4.67
4.53
Over 3.5
69% 9/13
67% 8/12
–
Over 4.5
54% 7/13
50% 6/12
–
Shots
Shots
16.92
16.92
–
Opponent shots
17.69
13.25
–
Match total
34.62
30.17
30.43
Shots on target
On target
5.00
6.17
–
Opponent on target
6.23
4.17
–
Match total
11.23
10.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.31
12.17
–
Opponent fouls
10.62
11.92
–
Match total
23.92
24.08
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.17
1.18
–
Opponent offsides
1.50
1.91
–
Match total
3.67
3.09
–
Possession
All games
46%
55%
–
Home games
49%
54%
–
Away games
43%
55%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Super League 2026-2027 (76 games) · Super League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FC Luzern
Scored · 21
24%
0%
9%
24%
19%
24%
Conceded · 28
22%
7%
7%
18%
14%
32%
FC Lugano
Scored · 36
17%
11%
14%
17%
11%
30%
Conceded · 10
0%
20%
30%
20%
20%
10%
38%
Scored first
83%
24%
Goals after 75'
31%
Scored first: FC Luzern 5 of 13, FC Lugano 10 of 12 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Super League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 6
0.85
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 7
Level 3
Trailing 2
2.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
7 of 7
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
6
Points won from losing positions in 10 · 3 games
7
12
Points dropped from winning positions in 8 · 12 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Super League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
