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28 Jan 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
56%
29%
15%
El Mokawloon 56%
Draw 29%
National Bank of Egypt 15%
1.3 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
22% chance
Most Likely Score
27%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ARA · at home
National Bank of Egypt · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
0.33
1.67
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.29x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.30x
1.51x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.04 home goals and 1.11 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 6 + 5 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Masr (H) 1-1 · 12 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Ceramica Cleopatra (A) 2-0 · 14 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
W
L
D
W
D
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
2.00
2-0-1
PPG Away
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: National Bank of Egypt away +49% on points per game vs El Mokawloon at home (1.00 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
108
days rest
El Mokawloon 1-1 Masr
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
136
days rest
Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 National Bank of Egypt
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
3
3
Win %
33%
0%
67%
Goals per game
2.17
3.00
1.33
Scored
1.17
1.33
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.67
0.33
Both teams scored
50%
100%
0%
Clean sheets
33%
0%
67%
Failed to score
17%
0%
33%
xG
0.93
0.62
1.23
xGA
1.20
1.29
1.11
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.20
3.50
1.33
Scored
0.80
1.50
0.33
Conceded
1.40
2.00
1.00
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.01
1.37
0.66
xGA
0.60
0.80
0.40
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
El Mokawloon
ARA
National Bank of Egypt
NAT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 6/6
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
67% 4/6
60% 3/5
63%
68%
Over 2.5
17% 1/6
40% 2/5
28%
32%
Over 3.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
14%
Over 4.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/5
8%
–
Under 2.5
83% 5/6
60% 3/5
72%
68%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 3/6
20% 1/5
35%
41%
BTTS & win
0% 0/6
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
El Mokawloon
ARA
National Bank of Egypt
NAT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
50% 3/6
20% 1/5
35%
–
Over 1.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/6
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games, 2.14 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.33 away
El Mokawloon scored 4 in 3 home games
National Bank of Egypt scored 1 in 3 away games
El Mokawloon
ARA
National Bank of Egypt
NAT
Scored over 0.5
83% 5/6
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
33% 2/6
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/6
20% 1/5
Failed to score
17% 1/6
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.67 at home
1.00 away
El Mokawloon conceded 5 in 3 home games
National Bank of Egypt conceded 3 in 3 away games
El Mokawloon
ARA
National Bank of Egypt
NAT
Conceded over 0.5
67% 4/6
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
17% 1/6
40% 2/5
Conceded over 2.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
33% 2/6
20% 1/5
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
5
Scored in a row
1
Lost last game
2
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
El Mokawloon
ARA
National Bank of Egypt
NAT
League
Corners
Corners won
3.00
5.75
–
Corners conceded
7.17
4.25
–
Match total
10.17
10.00
8.94
Over 8.5
100% 6/6
50% 2/4
–
Over 9.5
67% 4/6
25% 1/4
–
Over 10.5
33% 2/6
25% 1/4
–
Cards
Cards
1.83
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.33
1.60
–
Match total
3.17
3.60
3.75
Over 3.5
33% 2/6
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
17% 1/6
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
8.17
14.75
–
Opponent shots
13.17
10.00
–
Match total
21.33
24.75
23.46
Shots on target
On target
3.50
3.25
–
Opponent on target
4.33
4.25
–
Match total
7.83
7.50
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.17
12.50
–
Opponent fouls
10.17
12.25
–
Match total
24.33
24.75
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.83
3.50
–
Opponent offsides
3.00
2.25
–
Match total
4.83
5.75
–
Possession
All games
41%
55%
–
Home games
43%
55%
–
Away games
40%
54%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
El Mokawloon
Scored · 7
0%
0%
43%
14%
0%
43%
Conceded · 6
0%
0%
17%
33%
17%
33%
National Bank of Egypt
Scored · 4
0%
25%
25%
25%
25%
0%
Conceded · 7
0%
0%
14%
43%
14%
29%
83%
Scored first
40%
43%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: El Mokawloon 5 of 6, National Bank of Egypt 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
33%67%
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.67
points per game
At half-time
50%
1 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 4
At half-time
20%80%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 3 games
0
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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