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5 Jan 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
16%
81%
El Gouna FC 3%
Draw 16%
Al Ahly 81%
0.2 – 2.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
22% chance
Most Likely Score
38%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
GOU · at home
AHL · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.67
1.33
Goals conceded per game
0.33
0.64x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.51x
1.20x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.32x
Average: 1.04 home goals and 1.11 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 6 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Petrojet (H) 1-2 · 16 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Zamalek SC (A) 0-2 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
0.40
0-2-3
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
0.50
0-1-1
PPG Away
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
2.67
5-1-0
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
2.33
2-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Al Ahly away +606% on points per game vs El Gouna FC at home (2.33 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
111
days rest
El Gouna FC 1-2 Petrojet
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
86
days rest
Zamalek SC 0-2 Al Ahly
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
1.80
2.00
1.50
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
1.20
1.33
1.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.95
1.24
0.51
xGA
1.16
1.14
1.19
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
3
3
Win %
83%
100%
67%
Goals per game
2.33
2.67
2.00
Scored
1.83
2.00
1.67
Conceded
0.50
0.67
0.33
Both teams scored
33%
33%
33%
Clean sheets
67%
67%
67%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.43
1.75
1.11
xGA
0.69
0.50
0.87
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
El Gouna FC
GOU
Al Ahly
AHL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 6/6
100%
–
Over 1.5
60% 3/5
83% 5/6
72%
68%
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
17% 1/6
18%
32%
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
17% 1/6
8%
14%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
17% 1/6
8%
–
Under 2.5
80% 4/5
83% 5/6
82%
68%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
33% 2/6
47%
41%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
17% 1/6
8%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
17% 1/6
18%
–
El Gouna FC
GOU
Al Ahly
AHL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
83% 5/6
72%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
17% 1/6
28%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
17% 1/6
8%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
17% 1/6
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games, 2.14 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.67 away
El Gouna FC scored 2 in 3 home games
Al Ahly scored 5 in 3 away games
El Gouna FC
GOU
Al Ahly
AHL
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
100% 6/6
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/5
67% 4/6
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
17% 1/6
Failed to score
40% 2/5
0% 0/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.33 away
El Gouna FC conceded 4 in 3 home games
Al Ahly conceded 1 in 3 away games
El Gouna FC
GOU
Al Ahly
AHL
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
33% 2/6
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
17% 1/6
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/6
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
67% 4/6
Streaks
5
Without a win all 5 this season
5
Conceded all 5 this season
6
Unbeaten all 6 this season
6
Scored all 6 this season
2
Clean sheets in a row
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
El Gouna FC
GOU
Al Ahly
AHL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.60
6.83
–
Corners conceded
4.80
2.67
–
Match total
9.40
9.50
8.94
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
67% 4/6
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
67% 4/6
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
17% 1/6
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
1.17
–
Opponent cards
1.20
1.67
–
Match total
2.80
2.83
3.75
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
33% 2/6
–
Shots
Shots
13.40
16.33
–
Opponent shots
13.20
5.83
–
Match total
26.60
22.17
23.46
Shots on target
On target
3.60
5.67
–
Opponent on target
3.40
2.00
–
Match total
7.00
7.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.60
11.17
–
Opponent fouls
10.20
12.67
–
Match total
21.80
23.83
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.80
1.17
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
2.33
–
Match total
3.80
3.50
–
Possession
All games
52%
59%
–
Home games
60%
65%
–
Away games
41%
54%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
El Gouna FC
Scored · 3
0%
0%
33%
0%
0%
67%
Conceded · 6
17%
17%
33%
17%
0%
16%
Al Ahly
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 3
0%
67%
33%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Scored first
67%
67%
Goals after 75'
36%
Scored first: El Gouna FC 0 of 5, Al Ahly 4 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
60%40%
Leading 0
Level 3
Trailing 2
0.60
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
At half-time
50%17%33%
Leading 3
Level 1
Trailing 2
1.67
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 2 games
4
–
Points dropped from winning positions in 0 · 5 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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