days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
90%
9%
Alaves 90%
Draw 9%
Malaga 1%
2.6 – 0.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
22% chance
Most Likely Score
52%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ALA · at home
MAL · away
2.25
Goals scored per game
0.25
0.75
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.32x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.19x
0.56x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.17x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Athletic Club (A) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
14
17
23
19
15
9
Substitutes
13
3
10
11
22
7
27
29
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Getafe (A) 1-0 · 20 Sep 2026
31
15
25
12
14
10
8
22
11
17
Substitutes
13
30
23
18
21
9
19
32
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
W
1.57
3-2-2
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
0.43
0-3-4
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Alaves at home +800% on points per game vs Malaga away (2.25 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
34
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
33
days rest
Getafe 1-0 Malaga
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
43%
75%
0%
Goals per game
2.43
3.00
1.67
Scored
1.57
2.25
0.67
Conceded
0.86
0.75
1.00
Both teams scored
43%
25%
67%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
29%
25%
33%
xG
1.29
1.25
1.34
xGA
1.14
0.98
1.35
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.14
2.00
2.25
Scored
0.43
0.67
0.25
Conceded
1.71
1.33
2.00
Both teams scored
43%
67%
25%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
57%
33%
75%
xG
0.84
1.35
0.45
xGA
1.66
1.75
1.60
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Alaves
ALA
Malaga
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
77%
Over 2.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
57%
Over 3.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
39%
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
Under 2.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
43%
58%
BTTS & win
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
Alaves
ALA
Malaga
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
14%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.25 at home
Alaves scored 9 in 4 home games
Malaga scored 1 in 4 away games
Alaves
ALA
Malaga
MAL
Scored over 0.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
Scored over 1.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
0% 0/7
Failed to score
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
2.00 away
Alaves conceded 3 in 4 home games
Malaga conceded 8 in 4 away games
Alaves
ALA
Malaga
MAL
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
Streaks
Match Totals
Alaves
ALA
Malaga
MAL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.29
5.43
–
Corners conceded
5.14
5.29
–
Match total
9.43
10.71
9.65
Over 8.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 9.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.57
–
Opponent cards
2.43
2.00
–
Match total
4.43
4.57
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
12.43
10.00
–
Opponent shots
12.14
14.86
–
Match total
24.57
24.86
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.43
2.00
–
Opponent on target
4.14
5.71
–
Match total
8.57
7.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.57
12.86
–
Opponent fouls
13.14
11.71
–
Match total
26.71
24.57
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.86
1.29
–
Opponent offsides
1.86
2.14
–
Match total
5.71
3.43
–
Possession
All games
42%
51%
–
Home games
42%
52%
–
Away games
42%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Alaves
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 6
0%
0%
17%
50%
17%
16%
Malaga
Scored · 3
34%
0%
33%
0%
0%
33%
Conceded · 12
0%
34%
25%
0%
8%
33%
67%
Scored first
17%
36%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Alaves 4 of 6, Malaga 1 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 1
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 6 games
2
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 1 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
