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12 Feb 2027-7:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
69%
20%
11%
Al Ahly 69%
Draw 20%
El Geish 11%
1.9 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
46%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
AHL · at home
TAL · all games
2.00
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.93x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.90x
0.60x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.04 home goals and 1.11 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 6 + 5 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Zamalek SC (A) 0-2 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Smouha SC (H) 0-1 · 14 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
2.67
5-1-0
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
2.33
2-1-0
PPG Away
L
D
L
W
W
L
D
L
W
W
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-0-2
PPG at Home
2.00
1-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Al Ahly at home +50% on points per game vs El Geish away (3.00 vs 2.00)
Rest & Schedule
124
days rest
Zamalek SC 0-2 Al Ahly
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
151
days rest
El Geish 0-1 Smouha SC
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
3
3
Win %
83%
100%
67%
Goals per game
2.33
2.67
2.00
Scored
1.83
2.00
1.67
Conceded
0.50
0.67
0.33
Both teams scored
33%
33%
33%
Clean sheets
67%
67%
67%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.43
1.75
1.11
xGA
0.69
0.50
0.87
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
40%
33%
50%
Goals per game
2.00
1.00
3.50
Scored
1.00
0.33
2.00
Conceded
1.00
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
0%
100%
Clean sheets
20%
33%
0%
Failed to score
40%
67%
0%
xG
0.74
0.75
0.74
xGA
0.84
0.84
0.84
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Al Ahly
AHL
El Geish
TAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 6/6
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
83% 5/6
40% 2/5
62%
68%
Over 2.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
32%
Over 3.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
14%
Over 4.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
Under 2.5
83% 5/6
80% 4/5
82%
68%
Both teams score
BTTS
33% 2/6
40% 2/5
37%
41%
BTTS & win
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
Al Ahly
AHL
El Geish
TAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 5/6
40% 2/5
62%
–
Over 1.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
18%
–
Over 2.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/5
8%
–
BTTS
17% 1/6
0% 0/5
8%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games, 2.14 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
2.00 away
Al Ahly scored 6 in 3 home games
El Geish scored 4 in 2 away games
Al Ahly
AHL
El Geish
TAL
Scored over 0.5
100% 6/6
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
67% 4/6
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
Failed to score
0% 0/6
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.50 away
Al Ahly conceded 2 in 3 home games
El Geish conceded 3 in 2 away games
Al Ahly
AHL
El Geish
TAL
Conceded over 0.5
33% 2/6
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/6
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
67% 4/6
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Al Ahly
AHL
El Geish
TAL
League
Corners
Corners won
6.83
3.20
–
Corners conceded
2.67
5.00
–
Match total
9.50
8.20
8.94
Over 8.5
67% 4/6
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
67% 4/6
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
17% 1/6
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.17
2.60
–
Opponent cards
1.67
1.40
–
Match total
2.83
4.00
3.75
Over 3.5
33% 2/6
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
33% 2/6
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
16.33
11.40
–
Opponent shots
5.83
11.60
–
Match total
22.17
23.00
23.46
Shots on target
On target
5.67
3.40
–
Opponent on target
2.00
3.40
–
Match total
7.67
6.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.17
9.80
–
Opponent fouls
12.67
16.60
–
Match total
23.83
26.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.17
2.60
–
Opponent offsides
2.33
1.20
–
Match total
3.50
3.80
–
Possession
All games
59%
49%
–
Home games
65%
47%
–
Away games
54%
53%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Al Ahly
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 3
0%
67%
33%
0%
0%
0%
El Geish
Scored · 5
0%
20%
20%
20%
40%
0%
Conceded · 5
0%
0%
20%
0%
40%
40%
67%
Scored first
40%
36%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: Al Ahly 4 of 6, El Geish 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%17%33%
Leading 3
Level 1
Trailing 2
1.67
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 3
4
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 3 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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