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20 Feb 2027-2:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
Pardubice 54%
Draw 24%
Baník Ostrava 22%
1.7 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
11% chance
Most Likely Score
51%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Pardubice · at home
OST · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.86
0.92x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.76x
1.01x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.29x
Average: 1.44 home goals and 1.32 away goals per game in Czech Liga 2026-2027
Based on 14 + 13 Czech Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Teplice (A) 1-4 · 8 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Zbrojovka Brno (A) 1-3 · 7 Nov 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
D
L
L
1.21
5-2-7
PPG Overall
1.17
2-1-3
PPG at Home
1.25
3-1-4
PPG Away
W
L
D
L
D
W
L
D
L
D
L
L
L
W
W
1.08
4-2-7
PPG Overall
1.17
2-1-3
PPG at Home
1.00
2-1-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Pardubice at home +17% on points per game vs Baník Ostrava away (1.17 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
104
days rest
Teplice 1-4 Pardubice
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
105
days rest
Zbrojovka Brno 1-3 Baník Ostrava
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
14
6
8
Win %
36%
33%
38%
Goals per game
2.79
2.67
2.88
Scored
1.36
1.33
1.38
Conceded
1.43
1.33
1.50
Both teams scored
71%
67%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
17%
13%
Failed to score
21%
17%
25%
xG
1.50
1.90
1.20
xGA
1.43
0.81
1.90
Overall
Home
Away
Played
13
6
7
Win %
31%
33%
29%
Goals per game
2.54
2.17
2.86
Scored
0.77
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.77
1.67
1.86
Both teams scored
31%
17%
43%
Clean sheets
31%
50%
14%
Failed to score
46%
50%
43%
xG
1.25
0.99
1.48
xGA
2.04
1.84
2.22
Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Pardubice
PAR
Baník Ostrava
OST
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
93% 13/14
92% 12/13
93%
–
Over 1.5
93% 13/14
62% 8/13
77%
78%
Over 2.5
71% 10/14
62% 8/13
66%
56%
Over 3.5
14% 2/14
38% 5/13
26%
30%
Over 4.5
7% 1/14
0% 0/13
4%
–
Under 2.5
29% 4/14
38% 5/13
34%
44%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 10/14
31% 4/13
51%
51%
BTTS & win
29% 4/14
8% 1/13
18%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
64% 9/14
31% 4/13
48%
–
Pardubice
PAR
Baník Ostrava
OST
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
79% 11/14
77% 10/13
78%
–
Over 1.5
36% 5/14
23% 3/13
29%
–
Over 2.5
7% 1/14
8% 1/13
7%
–
BTTS
14% 2/14
0% 0/13
7%
–
% of each club's games · League = Czech Liga 2026-2027 (108 games, 2.77 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Pardubice scored 8 in 6 home games
Baník Ostrava scored 7 in 7 away games
Pardubice
PAR
Baník Ostrava
OST
Scored over 0.5
79% 11/14
54% 7/13
Scored over 1.5
36% 5/14
15% 2/13
Scored over 2.5
14% 2/14
8% 1/13
Failed to score
21% 3/14
46% 6/13
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Pardubice conceded 8 in 6 home games
Baník Ostrava conceded 13 in 7 away games
Pardubice
PAR
Baník Ostrava
OST
Conceded over 0.5
86% 12/14
69% 9/13
Conceded over 1.5
50% 7/14
54% 7/13
Conceded over 2.5
7% 1/14
31% 4/13
Clean sheets
14% 2/14
31% 4/13
Streaks
1
Won last game
4
Scored in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
1
Won last game
2
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Pardubice
PAR
Baník Ostrava
OST
League
Corners
Corners won
5.29
5.46
–
Corners conceded
4.50
4.46
–
Match total
9.79
9.92
10.17
Over 8.5
50% 7/14
62% 8/13
–
Over 9.5
50% 7/14
46% 6/13
–
Over 10.5
43% 6/14
31% 4/13
–
Cards
Cards
2.21
1.92
–
Opponent cards
1.29
1.92
–
Match total
3.50
3.85
3.89
Over 3.5
50% 7/14
54% 7/13
–
Over 4.5
21% 3/14
31% 4/13
–
Shots
Shots
13.64
12.38
–
Opponent shots
15.29
15.31
–
Match total
28.93
27.69
28.04
Shots on target
On target
4.93
3.77
–
Opponent on target
3.86
4.85
–
Match total
8.79
8.62
–
Fouls
Fouls
15.21
13.54
–
Opponent fouls
10.93
10.46
–
Match total
26.14
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.08
2.08
–
Opponent offsides
0.69
2.33
–
Match total
1.77
4.42
–
Possession
All games
46%
48%
–
Home games
51%
49%
–
Away games
43%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Czech Liga 2026-2027 (108 games) · Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Pardubice
Scored · 19
16%
21%
16%
37%
5%
5%
Conceded · 20
5%
10%
20%
30%
20%
15%
Baník Ostrava
Scored · 10
10%
30%
10%
20%
10%
20%
Conceded · 23
13%
17%
9%
39%
9%
13%
54%
Scored first
42%
5%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Pardubice 7 of 13, Baník Ostrava 5 of 12 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 6
Level 4
Trailing 4
1.57
points per game
At half-time
67%
4 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 4
Level 3
Trailing 6
1.15
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
0
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 8 games
1
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 5 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
