Stats Prediction
Result probability
Slovan Liberec 68%
Draw 23%
Baník Ostrava 9%
1.7 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
20% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIB · at home
OST · away
1.20
Goals scored per game
0.67
0.80
Goals conceded per game
2.00
0.83x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.54x
0.65x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.38x
Average: 1.45 home goals and 1.23 away goals per game in Czech Liga 2026-2027
Based on 11 + 11 Czech Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Slovan Liberec or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Sigma Olomouc (A) 1-0 · 17 Oct 2026
Substitutes
77
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Sparta Praha (H) 0-0 · 18 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
L
1.82
6-2-3
PPG Overall
1.40
2-1-2
PPG at Home
2.17
4-1-1
PPG Away
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
1.00
3-2-6
PPG Overall
1.40
2-1-2
PPG at Home
0.67
1-1-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Slovan Liberec at home +109% on points per game vs Baník Ostrava away (1.40 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
7
days rest
Sigma Olomouc 1-0 Slovan Liberec
2 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
6
days rest
Baník Ostrava 0-0 Sparta Praha
2 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
5
6
Win %
55%
40%
67%
Goals per game
1.82
2.00
1.67
Scored
1.18
1.20
1.17
Conceded
0.64
0.80
0.50
Both teams scored
27%
20%
33%
Clean sheets
45%
40%
50%
Failed to score
36%
40%
33%
xG
1.60
1.89
1.36
xGA
0.93
0.75
1.08
Overall
Home
Away
Played
11
5
6
Win %
27%
40%
17%
Goals per game
2.27
1.80
2.67
Scored
0.64
0.60
0.67
Conceded
1.64
1.20
2.00
Both teams scored
27%
20%
33%
Clean sheets
36%
60%
17%
Failed to score
45%
40%
50%
xG
1.28
1.09
1.44
xGA
2.02
1.64
2.33
Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Slovan Liberec
LIB
Baník Ostrava
OST
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
91% 10/11
91% 10/11
91%
–
Over 1.5
55% 6/11
55% 6/11
55%
77%
Over 2.5
27% 3/11
55% 6/11
41%
53%
Over 3.5
9% 1/11
27% 3/11
18%
25%
Over 4.5
0% 0/11
0% 0/11
0%
–
Under 2.5
73% 8/11
45% 5/11
59%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
27% 3/11
27% 3/11
27%
48%
BTTS & win
18% 2/11
0% 0/11
9%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
18% 2/11
27% 3/11
23%
–
Slovan Liberec
LIB
Baník Ostrava
OST
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
55% 6/11
82% 9/11
68%
–
Over 1.5
0% 0/11
18% 2/11
9%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/11
9% 1/11
5%
–
BTTS
0% 0/11
0% 0/11
0%
–
% of each club's games · League = Czech Liga 2026-2027 (87 games, 2.68 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
Slovan Liberec scored 6 in 5 home games
Baník Ostrava scored 4 in 6 away games
Slovan Liberec
LIB
Baník Ostrava
OST
Scored over 0.5
64% 7/11
55% 6/11
Scored over 1.5
36% 4/11
9% 1/11
Scored over 2.5
18% 2/11
0% 0/11
Failed to score
36% 4/11
45% 5/11
Goals conceded per game at this venue
Slovan Liberec conceded 4 in 5 home games
Baník Ostrava conceded 12 in 6 away games
Slovan Liberec
LIB
Baník Ostrava
OST
Conceded over 0.5
55% 6/11
64% 7/11
Conceded over 1.5
9% 1/11
55% 6/11
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/11
27% 3/11
Clean sheets
45% 5/11
36% 4/11
Streaks
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
3
Failed to score in a row
2
Conceded in a row
4
Longest win run this season
6
Without a win last win 7 games ago
2
Failed to score in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Slovan Liberec
LIB
Baník Ostrava
OST
League
Corners
Corners won
6.36
5.09
–
Corners conceded
3.55
4.55
–
Match total
9.91
9.64
9.86
Over 8.5
73% 8/11
55% 6/11
–
Over 9.5
45% 5/11
36% 4/11
–
Over 10.5
45% 5/11
18% 2/11
–
Cards
Cards
2.55
1.82
–
Opponent cards
2.82
2.09
–
Match total
5.36
3.91
3.85
Over 3.5
82% 9/11
55% 6/11
–
Over 4.5
73% 8/11
36% 4/11
–
Shots
Shots
17.09
12.36
–
Opponent shots
10.27
15.82
–
Match total
27.36
28.18
27.23
Shots on target
On target
5.18
3.45
–
Opponent on target
2.91
4.73
–
Match total
8.09
8.18
–
Fouls
Fouls
15.09
13.45
–
Opponent fouls
12.36
10.82
–
Match total
27.45
24.27
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.27
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.73
2.00
–
Match total
3.00
4.00
–
Possession
All games
49%
47%
–
Home games
48%
47%
–
Away games
49%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Czech Liga 2026-2027 (87 games) · Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Slovan Liberec
Scored · 13
0%
15%
8%
15%
31%
31%
Conceded · 7
43%
0%
0%
14%
29%
14%
Baník Ostrava
Scored · 7
14%
14%
14%
29%
0%
29%
Conceded · 18
17%
22%
11%
28%
11%
11%
60%
Scored first
40%
31%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Slovan Liberec 6 of 10, Baník Ostrava 4 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
Leading 3
Level 5
Trailing 3
1.27
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
At half-time
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 6
1.00
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 7 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 4 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Czech Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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