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27 Jan 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
24%
54%
22%
El Geish 24%
Draw 54%
El Gouna FC 22%
0.4 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
47% chance
Most Likely Score
4%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
TAL · at home
GOU · all games
0.33
Goals scored per game
0.60
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.20
0.32x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.54x
0.60x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.16x
Average: 1.04 home goals and 1.11 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Smouha SC (H) 0-1 · 14 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Petrojet (H) 1-2 · 16 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
W
W
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-0-2
PPG at Home
2.00
1-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: El Geish at home +100% on points per game vs El Gouna FC away (1.00 vs 0.50)
Rest & Schedule
135
days rest
El Geish 0-1 Smouha SC
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
133
days rest
El Gouna FC 1-2 Petrojet
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
40%
33%
50%
Goals per game
2.00
1.00
3.50
Scored
1.00
0.33
2.00
Conceded
1.00
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
0%
100%
Clean sheets
20%
33%
0%
Failed to score
40%
67%
0%
xG
0.74
0.75
0.74
xGA
0.84
0.84
0.84
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
1.80
2.00
1.50
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
1.20
1.33
1.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.95
1.24
0.51
xGA
1.16
1.14
1.19
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
El Geish
TAL
El Gouna FC
GOU
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
68%
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
32%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
14%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
68%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
41%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
El Geish
TAL
El Gouna FC
GOU
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
0%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games, 2.14 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.33 at home
0.50 away
El Geish scored 1 in 3 home games
El Gouna FC scored 1 in 2 away games
El Geish
TAL
El Gouna FC
GOU
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.00 away
El Geish conceded 2 in 3 home games
El Gouna FC conceded 2 in 2 away games
El Geish
TAL
El Gouna FC
GOU
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
5
Without a win all 5 this season
5
Conceded all 5 this season
Match Totals
El Geish
TAL
El Gouna FC
GOU
League
Corners
Corners won
3.20
4.60
–
Corners conceded
5.00
4.80
–
Match total
8.20
9.40
8.94
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.60
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.40
1.20
–
Match total
4.00
2.80
3.75
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.40
13.40
–
Opponent shots
11.60
13.20
–
Match total
23.00
26.60
23.46
Shots on target
On target
3.40
3.60
–
Opponent on target
3.40
3.40
–
Match total
6.80
7.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.80
11.60
–
Opponent fouls
16.60
10.20
–
Match total
26.40
21.80
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.60
1.80
–
Opponent offsides
1.20
2.00
–
Match total
3.80
3.80
–
Possession
All games
49%
52%
–
Home games
47%
60%
–
Away games
53%
41%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (56 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
El Geish
Scored · 5
0%
20%
20%
20%
40%
0%
Conceded · 5
0%
0%
20%
0%
40%
40%
El Gouna FC
Scored · 3
0%
0%
33%
0%
0%
67%
Conceded · 6
17%
17%
33%
17%
0%
16%
40%
Scored first
0%
0%
Goals after 75'
67%
Scored first: El Geish 2 of 5, El Gouna FC 0 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 3
At half-time
60%40%
Leading 0
Level 3
Trailing 2
0.60
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 5 games
2
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 0 games
–
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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