|
10 Apr 2027-10:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
34%
18%
48%
Nagoya Grampus 34%
Draw 18%
Kashima 48%
2.3 – 2.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-2
7% chance
Most Likely Score
87%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
NAG · at home
KAS · away
1.50
Goals scored per game
2.40
1.50
Goals conceded per game
2.40
0.96x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.79x
1.12x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.53x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Kawasaki Frontale (A) 1-2 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Công An Nhân Dân (A) 0-1 · 13 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
1.00
3-0-6
PPG Overall
1.50
2-0-2
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
1.78
5-1-3
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Nagoya Grampus at home +7% on points per game vs Kashima away (1.50 vs 1.40)
Rest & Schedule
181
days rest
Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
179
days rest
Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 Kashima
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
33%
50%
20%
Goals per game
2.67
3.00
2.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.67
1.50
1.80
Both teams scored
56%
75%
40%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
44%
25%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
56%
75%
40%
Goals per game
3.89
2.75
4.80
Scored
2.11
1.75
2.40
Conceded
1.78
1.00
2.40
Both teams scored
67%
50%
80%
Clean sheets
22%
25%
20%
Failed to score
11%
25%
0%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Kashima
KAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
100% 9/9
100%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
83%
79%
Over 2.5
67% 6/9
67% 6/9
67%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
33%
31%
Over 4.5
0% 0/9
44% 4/9
22%
–
Under 2.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
56% 5/9
67% 6/9
61%
59%
BTTS & win
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
56% 5/9
67% 6/9
61%
–
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Kashima
KAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
44% 4/9
39%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
BTTS
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
2.40 away
Nagoya Grampus scored 6 in 4 home games
Kashima scored 12 in 5 away games
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Kashima
KAS
Scored over 0.5
56% 5/9
89% 8/9
Scored over 1.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
Failed to score
44% 4/9
11% 1/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
2.40 away
Nagoya Grampus conceded 6 in 4 home games
Kashima conceded 12 in 5 away games
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Kashima
KAS
Conceded over 0.5
100% 9/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
Clean sheets
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
1
Won last game
9
Conceded all 9 this season
2
Longest win run this season
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
3
Scored in a row
4
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Kashima
KAS
League
Corners
Corners won
5.33
3.67
–
Corners conceded
3.89
4.00
–
Match total
9.22
7.67
9.11
Over 8.5
33% 3/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.22
1.78
–
Opponent cards
2.22
1.33
–
Match total
3.44
3.11
2.91
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
–
Shots
Shots
13.78
16.22
–
Opponent shots
13.22
12.33
–
Match total
27.00
28.56
26.86
Shots on target
On target
3.78
4.56
–
Opponent on target
4.67
4.44
–
Match total
8.44
9.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.22
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
15.78
13.00
–
Match total
26.00
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.67
1.78
–
Opponent offsides
0.89
1.67
–
Match total
2.56
3.44
–
Possession
All games
59%
58%
–
Home games
63%
55%
–
Away games
55%
60%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Nagoya Grampus
Scored · 9
22%
0%
11%
22%
11%
34%
Conceded · 15
13%
7%
27%
13%
13%
27%
Kashima
Scored · 19
5%
5%
21%
21%
16%
32%
Conceded · 16
13%
19%
12%
37%
0%
19%
22%
Scored first
56%
33%
Goals after 75'
32%
Scored first: Nagoya Grampus 2 of 9, Kashima 5 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
56%44%
Leading 0
Level 5
Trailing 4
0.56
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 6
At half-time
33%33%33%
Leading 3
Level 3
Trailing 3
1.33
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 13
3
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 5 games
4
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 6 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
