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13 Mar 2027-11:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
90%
8%
FC Tokyo 90%
Draw 8%
Cerezo Osaka 2%
3.2 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
68%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
TOK · at home
COS · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.75
1.15x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.37x
0.74x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.76x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Urawa (H) 3-0 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Yokohama F. Marinos (H) 0-0 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
D
L
2.22
6-2-1
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
2-2-0
PPG Away
D
D
L
D
W
D
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
1.33
3-3-3
PPG Overall
2.20
3-2-0
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: FC Tokyo at home +860% on points per game vs Cerezo Osaka away (2.40 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
154
days rest
FC Tokyo 3-0 Urawa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
154
days rest
Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
67%
80%
50%
Goals per game
2.78
2.80
2.75
Scored
1.89
1.80
2.00
Conceded
0.89
1.00
0.75
Both teams scored
33%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
67%
80%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
33%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.20
3.25
Scored
0.78
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.33
0.20
2.75
Both teams scored
33%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
44%
80%
0%
Failed to score
44%
40%
50%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
FC Tokyo
TOK
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
78% 7/9
89%
–
Over 1.5
89% 8/9
56% 5/9
72%
79%
Over 2.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
39%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
31%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
56% 5/9
67% 6/9
61%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
59%
BTTS & win
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
FC Tokyo
TOK
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
17%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.50 away
FC Tokyo scored 9 in 5 home games
Cerezo Osaka scored 2 in 4 away games
FC Tokyo
TOK
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Scored over 0.5
100% 9/9
56% 5/9
Scored over 1.5
67% 6/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
0% 0/9
44% 4/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.75 away
FC Tokyo conceded 5 in 5 home games
Cerezo Osaka conceded 11 in 4 away games
FC Tokyo
TOK
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Conceded over 0.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 1.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
Streaks
8
Unbeaten last loss 9 games ago
9
Scored all 9 this season
4
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
Match Totals
FC Tokyo
TOK
Cerezo Osaka
COS
League
Corners
Corners won
4.67
5.89
–
Corners conceded
4.44
6.00
–
Match total
9.11
11.89
9.11
Over 8.5
44% 4/9
89% 8/9
–
Over 9.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.33
1.56
–
Opponent cards
0.78
0.89
–
Match total
2.11
2.44
2.91
Over 3.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
15.22
12.11
–
Opponent shots
10.56
13.00
–
Match total
25.78
25.11
26.86
Shots on target
On target
4.78
3.22
–
Opponent on target
2.78
4.44
–
Match total
7.56
7.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.33
9.33
–
Opponent fouls
9.67
10.33
–
Match total
21.00
19.67
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.00
1.44
–
Opponent offsides
1.67
3.67
–
Match total
3.67
5.11
–
Possession
All games
51%
56%
–
Home games
54%
55%
–
Away games
49%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FC Tokyo
Scored · 17
6%
0%
24%
23%
35%
12%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
25%
25%
12%
25%
Cerezo Osaka
Scored · 7
0%
43%
0%
14%
29%
14%
Conceded · 12
17%
8%
33%
17%
17%
8%
100%
Scored first
29%
12%
Goals after 75'
14%
Scored first: FC Tokyo 9 of 9, Cerezo Osaka 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%67%11%
Leading 2
Level 6
Trailing 1
1.33
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 12
At half-time
22%44%33%
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 3
1.11
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 4
0
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 5 games
4
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 9 · 3 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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