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21 Oct 2026-10:00 am
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
81%
13%
Nagoya Grampus 81%
Draw 13%
Cerezo Osaka 6%
2.6 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
62%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
NAG · at home
COS · away
1.50
Goals scored per game
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded per game
2.75
0.96x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.37x
1.12x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.76x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.34 away goals per game in J1 League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 J1 League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-1-2
vs Kawasaki Frontale (A) 1-2 · 11 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Yokohama F. Marinos (H) 0-0 · 10 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
1.00
3-0-6
PPG Overall
1.50
2-0-2
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
D
D
L
D
W
D
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
1.33
3-3-3
PPG Overall
2.20
3-2-0
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Nagoya Grampus at home +500% on points per game vs Cerezo Osaka away (1.50 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
10
days rest
Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
1 game in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
11
days rest
Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos
1 game in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
33%
50%
20%
Goals per game
2.67
3.00
2.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.67
1.50
1.80
Both teams scored
56%
75%
40%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
44%
25%
60%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
33%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.20
3.25
Scored
0.78
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.33
0.20
2.75
Both teams scored
33%
20%
50%
Clean sheets
44%
80%
0%
Failed to score
44%
40%
50%
J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 9/9
78% 7/9
89%
–
Over 1.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
67%
79%
Over 2.5
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
50%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
31%
Over 4.5
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
Under 2.5
33% 3/9
67% 6/9
50%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
56% 5/9
33% 3/9
44%
59%
BTTS & win
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
22%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
39%
–
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
67%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
11%
–
BTTS
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games, 2.91 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
0.50 away
Nagoya Grampus scored 6 in 4 home games
Cerezo Osaka scored 2 in 4 away games
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Scored over 0.5
56% 5/9
56% 5/9
Scored over 1.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
44% 4/9
44% 4/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
2.75 away
Nagoya Grampus conceded 6 in 4 home games
Cerezo Osaka conceded 11 in 4 away games
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Cerezo Osaka
COS
Conceded over 0.5
100% 9/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 1.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
0% 0/9
44% 4/9
Streaks
1
Won last game
9
Conceded all 9 this season
2
Longest win run this season
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
Match Totals
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
Cerezo Osaka
COS
League
Corners
Corners won
5.33
5.89
–
Corners conceded
3.89
6.00
–
Match total
9.22
11.89
9.11
Over 8.5
33% 3/9
89% 8/9
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
78% 7/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.22
1.56
–
Opponent cards
2.22
0.89
–
Match total
3.44
2.44
2.91
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
–
Shots
Shots
13.78
12.11
–
Opponent shots
13.22
13.00
–
Match total
27.00
25.11
26.86
Shots on target
On target
3.78
3.22
–
Opponent on target
4.67
4.44
–
Match total
8.44
7.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.22
9.33
–
Opponent fouls
15.78
10.33
–
Match total
26.00
19.67
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.67
1.44
–
Opponent offsides
0.89
3.67
–
Match total
2.56
5.11
–
Possession
All games
59%
56%
–
Home games
63%
55%
–
Away games
55%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = J1 League 2026-2027 (90 games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Nagoya Grampus
Scored · 9
22%
0%
11%
22%
11%
34%
Conceded · 15
13%
7%
27%
13%
13%
27%
Cerezo Osaka
Scored · 7
0%
43%
0%
14%
29%
14%
Conceded · 12
17%
8%
33%
17%
17%
8%
22%
Scored first
29%
33%
Goals after 75'
14%
Scored first: Nagoya Grampus 2 of 9, Cerezo Osaka 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
56%44%
Leading 0
Level 5
Trailing 4
0.56
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 6
At half-time
22%44%33%
Leading 2
Level 4
Trailing 3
1.11
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 4
3
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 5 games
4
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 3 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · J1 League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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