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28 Mar 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
15%
28%
57%
Senegal 15%
Draw 28%
Ethiopia 57%
0.6 – 1.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
19% chance
Most Likely Score
32%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
SEN · all games
ETH · all games
1.80
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded per game
0.50
1.15x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.00x
1.40x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.32x
Average: 1.56 home goals and 1.00 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 6 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Comoros (A) 0-1 · 4 Oct 2026
Substitutes
15
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Sudan (A) 1-0 · 25 Sep 2026
14
16
15
21
19
10
Substitutes
23
22
3
13
20
7
11
12
18
17
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Form & Points per Game
W
W
D
L
W
W
W
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
1.40
4-2-4
PPG Overall
3.00
2-0-0
PPG at Home
1.00
2-2-4
PPG Away
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
1.67
3-1-2
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Senegal at home +100% on points per game vs Ethiopia away (3.00 vs 1.50)
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
175
days rest
Comoros 0-1 Senegal
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
180
days rest
Ethiopia 0-1 Senegal
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
2
8
Win %
40%
100%
25%
Goals per game
3.20
4.50
2.88
Scored
1.80
4.00
1.25
Conceded
1.40
0.50
1.63
Both teams scored
60%
50%
63%
Clean sheets
40%
50%
38%
Failed to score
10%
0%
13%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
50%
50%
50%
Goals per game
1.50
1.25
2.00
Scored
1.00
0.75
1.50
Conceded
0.50
0.50
0.50
Both teams scored
17%
25%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Senegal
SEN
Ethiopia
ETH
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 6/6
95%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
33% 2/6
52%
73%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
17% 1/6
38%
48%
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
0% 0/6
30%
28%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
0% 0/6
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
83% 5/6
62%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
17% 1/6
38%
47%
BTTS & win
10% 1/10
0% 0/6
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 5/10
0% 0/6
25%
–
Senegal
SEN
Ethiopia
ETH
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
83% 5/6
82%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
33% 2/6
27%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
0% 0/6
5%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
17% 1/6
18%
–
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2026-2027 (60 games, 2.53 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.00 at home
1.50 away
Senegal scored 8 in 2 home games
Ethiopia scored 3 in 2 away games
Senegal
SEN
Ethiopia
ETH
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
17% 1/6
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
17% 1/6
Failed to score
10% 1/10
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.50 at home
0.50 away
Senegal conceded 1 in 2 home games
Ethiopia conceded 1 in 2 away games
Senegal
SEN
Ethiopia
ETH
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
50% 3/6
Conceded over 1.5
40% 4/10
0% 0/6
Conceded over 2.5
40% 4/10
0% 0/6
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
50% 3/6
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Clean sheets in a row
2
Longest win run in the last 10 games
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
3
Conceded in a row
2
Failed to score in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Senegal
SEN
Ethiopia
ETH
League
Cards
Cards
1.40
0.50
–
Opponent cards
1.30
0.67
–
Match total
2.70
1.17
2.15
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
17% 1/6
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
0% 0/6
–
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Corners, Shots, Shots on target, Fouls, Offsides, Possession - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2026-2027 (60 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Senegal
Scored · 18
17%
6%
17%
33%
5%
22%
Conceded · 14
7%
7%
14%
22%
14%
36%
Ethiopia
Scored · 6
33%
17%
33%
0%
0%
17%
Conceded · 3
34%
33%
0%
0%
0%
33%
67%
Scored first
50%
22%
Goals after 75'
17%
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Senegal 6 of 9, Ethiopia 3 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
At half-time
50%33%17%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 1
1.83
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 1
0
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 3 games
1
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 3 games
0
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
No assists recorded in these games.
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Not enough rated games yet.
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Senegal: 2, Ethiopia: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
