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24 Mar 2027-5:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
63%
26%
11%
Ethiopia 63%
Draw 26%
Sudan 11%
1.5 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
31%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ETH · at home
SUD · away
0.75
Goals scored per game
0.75
0.50
Goals conceded per game
2.50
0.60x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.90x
0.60x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
2.00x
Average: 1.25 home goals and 0.83 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 6 + 6 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Sudan (A) 1-0 · 25 Sep 2026
14
16
15
21
19
10
Substitutes
23
22
3
13
20
7
11
12
18
17
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Mozambique (A) 4-1 · 29 Sep 2026
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
1.67
3-1-2
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
1.00
2-0-4
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
0.75
1-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Ethiopia at home +133% on points per game vs Sudan away (1.75 vs 0.75)
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
176
days rest
Ethiopia 0-1 Senegal
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
176
days rest
Mozambique 4-1 Sudan
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
50%
50%
50%
Goals per game
1.50
1.25
2.00
Scored
1.00
0.75
1.50
Conceded
0.50
0.50
0.50
Both teams scored
17%
25%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
2
4
Win %
33%
50%
25%
Goals per game
2.67
1.50
3.25
Scored
0.67
0.50
0.75
Conceded
2.00
1.00
2.50
Both teams scored
33%
0%
50%
Clean sheets
33%
50%
25%
Failed to score
33%
50%
25%
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Ethiopia
ETH
Sudan
SUD
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 6/6
100% 6/6
100%
–
Over 1.5
33% 2/6
67% 4/6
50%
73%
Over 2.5
17% 1/6
50% 3/6
33%
48%
Over 3.5
0% 0/6
33% 2/6
17%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/6
17% 1/6
8%
–
Under 2.5
83% 5/6
50% 3/6
67%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
17% 1/6
33% 2/6
25%
47%
BTTS & win
0% 0/6
0% 0/6
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
0% 0/6
33% 2/6
17%
–
Ethiopia
ETH
Sudan
SUD
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 5/6
67% 4/6
75%
–
Over 1.5
33% 2/6
17% 1/6
25%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/6
17% 1/6
8%
–
BTTS
17% 1/6
17% 1/6
17%
–
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2026-2027 (60 games, 2.53 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.75 at home
0.75 away
Ethiopia scored 3 in 4 home games
Sudan scored 3 in 4 away games
Ethiopia
ETH
Sudan
SUD
Scored over 0.5
67% 4/6
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/6
Scored over 2.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/6
Failed to score
33% 2/6
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.50 at home
2.50 away
Ethiopia conceded 2 in 4 home games
Sudan conceded 10 in 4 away games
Ethiopia
ETH
Sudan
SUD
Conceded over 0.5
50% 3/6
67% 4/6
Conceded over 1.5
0% 0/6
67% 4/6
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/6
50% 3/6
Clean sheets
50% 3/6
33% 2/6
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
Match Totals
Ethiopia
ETH
Sudan
SUD
League
Cards
Cards
0.50
1.33
–
Opponent cards
0.67
2.00
–
Match total
1.17
3.33
2.15
Over 3.5
17% 1/6
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/6
17% 1/6
–
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Corners, Shots, Shots on target, Fouls, Offsides, Possession - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2026-2027 (60 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Ethiopia
Scored · 6
33%
17%
33%
0%
0%
17%
Conceded · 3
34%
33%
0%
0%
0%
33%
Sudan
Scored · 4
25%
0%
0%
0%
25%
50%
Conceded · 12
8%
25%
8%
17%
17%
25%
50%
Scored first
50%
17%
Goals after 75'
50%
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Ethiopia 3 of 6, Sudan 3 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%33%17%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 1
1.83
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 1
At half-time
33%67%
Leading 0
Level 2
Trailing 4
0.33
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 4 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 3 games
3
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
No assists recorded in these games.
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Not enough rated games yet.
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Ethiopia: 4, Sudan: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
