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24 Mar 2027-5:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
48%
39%
13%
Cape Verde Islands 48%
Draw 39%
Mali 13%
0.9 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
30% chance
Most Likely Score
12%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
CPV · at home
MAL · away
1.75
Goals scored per game
0.50
0.50
Goals conceded per game
0.67
1.31x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.64x
0.64x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.50x
Average: 1.33 home goals and 0.78 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 8 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Rwanda (H) 1-2 · 29 Sep 2026
Substitutes
22
Last game lineup
vs Morocco (A) 1-1 · 4 Oct 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
D
W
W
1.13
2-3-3
PPG Overall
1.75
2-1-1
PPG at Home
0.50
0-2-2
PPG Away
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
D
L
D
D
D
D
1.20
2-6-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.17
1-4-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Cape Verde Islands at home +50% on points per game vs Mali away (1.75 vs 1.17)
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
176
days rest
Cape Verde Islands 1-2 Rwanda
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
171
days rest
Morocco 1-1 Mali
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
8
4
4
Win %
25%
50%
0%
Goals per game
2.75
2.25
3.25
Scored
1.50
1.75
1.25
Conceded
1.25
0.50
2.00
Both teams scored
50%
25%
75%
Clean sheets
50%
75%
25%
Failed to score
25%
25%
25%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
4
6
Win %
20%
25%
17%
Goals per game
1.60
2.25
1.17
Scored
0.80
1.25
0.50
Conceded
0.80
1.00
0.67
Both teams scored
50%
75%
33%
Clean sheets
30%
0%
50%
Failed to score
40%
25%
50%
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Cape Verde Islands
CPV
Mali
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 6/8
80% 8/10
78%
–
Over 1.5
75% 6/8
60% 6/10
68%
73%
Over 2.5
75% 6/8
10% 1/10
43%
48%
Over 3.5
38% 3/8
10% 1/10
24%
28%
Over 4.5
13% 1/8
0% 0/10
6%
–
Under 2.5
25% 2/8
90% 9/10
58%
52%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 4/8
50% 5/10
50%
47%
BTTS & win
0% 0/8
10% 1/10
5%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
50% 4/8
10% 1/10
30%
–
Cape Verde Islands
CPV
Mali
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
75% 6/8
50% 5/10
63%
–
Over 1.5
38% 3/8
10% 1/10
24%
–
Over 2.5
25% 2/8
10% 1/10
18%
–
BTTS
38% 3/8
10% 1/10
24%
–
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2026-2027 (60 games, 2.53 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.75 at home
0.50 away
Cape Verde Islands scored 7 in 4 home games
Mali scored 3 in 6 away games
Cape Verde Islands
CPV
Mali
MAL
Scored over 0.5
75% 6/8
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 4/8
10% 1/10
Scored over 2.5
25% 2/8
10% 1/10
Failed to score
25% 2/8
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.50 at home
0.67 away
Cape Verde Islands conceded 2 in 4 home games
Mali conceded 4 in 6 away games
Cape Verde Islands
CPV
Mali
MAL
Conceded over 0.5
50% 4/8
70% 7/10
Conceded over 1.5
50% 4/8
10% 1/10
Conceded over 2.5
25% 2/8
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
50% 4/8
30% 3/10
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
6
Without a win last win 7 games ago
3
Scored in a row
3
Conceded in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
2
Longest win run in the last 10 games
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
3
Scored in a row
2
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Cape Verde Islands
CPV
Mali
MAL
League
Corners
Corners won
3.67
4.11
–
Corners conceded
6.50
5.67
–
Match total
10.17
9.78
8.66
Over 8.5
50% 3/6
56% 5/9
–
Over 9.5
50% 3/6
56% 5/9
–
Over 10.5
50% 3/6
56% 5/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.38
2.70
–
Opponent cards
1.75
2.20
–
Match total
3.13
4.90
2.15
Over 3.5
50% 4/8
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
13% 1/8
50% 5/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.00
11.33
–
Opponent shots
15.83
11.00
–
Match total
27.83
22.33
24.74
Shots on target
On target
3.33
2.89
–
Opponent on target
5.17
3.67
–
Match total
8.50
6.56
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.83
14.11
–
Opponent fouls
12.67
15.00
–
Match total
22.50
29.11
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.33
1.44
–
Opponent offsides
1.67
1.56
–
Match total
3.00
3.00
–
Possession
All games
44%
47%
–
Home games
61%
43%
–
Away games
36%
50%
–
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2026-2027 (60 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Cape Verde Islands
Scored · 12
17%
8%
17%
25%
17%
16%
Conceded · 10
10%
10%
40%
20%
0%
20%
Mali
Scored · 8
13%
0%
13%
12%
25%
37%
Conceded · 8
25%
13%
25%
12%
0%
25%
67%
Scored first
38%
17%
Goals after 75'
38%
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Cape Verde Islands 4 of 6, Mali 3 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
25%38%38%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 3
1.13
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 6
At half-time
10%50%40%
Leading 1
Level 5
Trailing 4
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
2 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 6
1
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 5 games
3
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 3 games
2
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Cape Verde Islands: 2, Mali: 2), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
