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17 Apr 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
86%
11%
Dynamo 86%
Draw 11%
Fakel 3%
2.6 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
18% chance
Most Likely Score
57%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
DYN · at home
FAK · away
1.80
Goals scored per game
0.75
0.60
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.31x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.55x
0.44x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.45x
Average: 1.38 home goals and 1.36 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs FC Rostov (A) 0-3 · 17 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Spartak Moscow (A) 1-0 · 16 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
D
2.11
6-1-2
PPG Overall
2.60
4-1-0
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
0.33
0-3-6
PPG Overall
0.60
0-3-2
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Dynamo at home 2.60 vs Fakel away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
212
days rest
FC Rostov 0-3 Dynamo
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
213
days rest
Spartak Moscow 1-0 Fakel
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
67%
80%
50%
Goals per game
2.44
2.40
2.50
Scored
1.56
1.80
1.25
Conceded
0.89
0.60
1.25
Both teams scored
44%
60%
25%
Clean sheets
44%
40%
50%
Failed to score
22%
20%
25%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.60
2.75
Scored
0.67
0.60
0.75
Conceded
1.44
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
22%
40%
0%
Failed to score
56%
60%
50%
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Dynamo
DYN
Fakel
FAK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
56%
79%
Over 2.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
56%
57%
Over 3.5
22% 2/9
33% 3/9
28%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
Under 2.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
44%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
44% 4/9
44%
63%
BTTS & win
33% 3/9
0% 0/9
17%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
44% 4/9
44%
–
Dynamo
DYN
Fakel
FAK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
39%
–
Over 1.5
33% 3/9
22% 2/9
28%
–
Over 2.5
11% 1/9
0% 0/9
6%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games, 2.74 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.80 at home
0.75 away
Dynamo scored 9 in 5 home games
Fakel scored 3 in 4 away games
Dynamo
DYN
Fakel
FAK
Scored over 0.5
78% 7/9
44% 4/9
Scored over 1.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Scored over 2.5
33% 3/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.60 at home
2.00 away
Dynamo conceded 3 in 5 home games
Fakel conceded 8 in 4 away games
Dynamo
DYN
Fakel
FAK
Conceded over 0.5
56% 5/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
Conceded over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Clean sheets
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
Match Totals
Dynamo
DYN
Fakel
FAK
League
Corners
Corners won
4.78
4.33
–
Corners conceded
2.22
5.22
–
Match total
7.00
9.56
8.81
Over 8.5
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
11% 1/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 10.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.78
1.78
–
Opponent cards
2.67
1.89
–
Match total
4.44
3.67
4.71
Over 3.5
78% 7/9
67% 6/9
–
Over 4.5
44% 4/9
11% 1/9
–
Shots
Shots
15.44
9.33
–
Opponent shots
7.89
14.67
–
Match total
23.33
24.00
26.08
Shots on target
On target
6.00
2.22
–
Opponent on target
2.78
4.00
–
Match total
8.78
6.22
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.00
14.67
–
Opponent fouls
15.33
11.44
–
Match total
27.33
26.11
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.44
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
3.22
2.00
–
Match total
4.67
3.50
–
Possession
All games
61%
45%
–
Home games
63%
47%
–
Away games
59%
42%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Dynamo
Scored · 14
0%
7%
22%
14%
7%
50%
Conceded · 8
0%
25%
25%
13%
12%
25%
Fakel
Scored · 6
17%
17%
0%
16%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
8%
15%
0%
23%
23%
31%
50%
Scored first
29%
50%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Dynamo 4 of 8, Fakel 2 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%67%11%
Leading 2
Level 6
Trailing 1
1.33
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 10
At half-time
11%78%11%
Leading 1
Level 7
Trailing 1
1.11
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
6
Points won from losing positions in 4 · 6 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 2 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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