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13 Mar 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
12%
23%
65%
Fakel 12%
Draw 23%
CSKA Moscow 65%
0.6 – 1.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
17% chance
Most Likely Score
40%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FAK · at home
CSK · away
0.60
Goals scored per game
2.33
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.44x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.71x
0.73x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.38 home goals and 1.36 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Spartak Moscow (A) 1-0 · 16 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Dinamo Makhachkala (A) 1-3 · 17 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
0.33
0-3-6
PPG Overall
0.60
0-3-2
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-4
PPG Away
W
D
W
D
W
W
D
W
D
W
W
D
D
W
2.11
5-4-0
PPG Overall
2.00
3-3-0
PPG at Home
2.33
2-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: CSKA Moscow away +288% on points per game vs Fakel at home (2.33 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
178
days rest
Spartak Moscow 1-0 Fakel
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
177
days rest
Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 CSKA Moscow
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.60
2.75
Scored
0.67
0.60
0.75
Conceded
1.44
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
22%
40%
0%
Failed to score
56%
60%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
6
3
Win %
56%
50%
67%
Goals per game
2.67
2.17
3.67
Scored
1.67
1.33
2.33
Conceded
1.00
0.83
1.33
Both teams scored
78%
67%
100%
Clean sheets
22%
33%
0%
Failed to score
11%
17%
0%
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fakel
FAK
CSKA Moscow
CSK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
79%
Over 2.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
57%
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
28%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
56% 5/9
44% 4/9
50%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
61%
63%
BTTS & win
0% 0/9
44% 4/9
22%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
–
Fakel
FAK
CSKA Moscow
CSK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
33% 3/9
78% 7/9
56%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
33%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
11% 1/9
6%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
44% 4/9
28%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games, 2.74 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.60 at home
2.33 away
Fakel scored 3 in 5 home games
CSKA Moscow scored 7 in 3 away games
Fakel
FAK
CSKA Moscow
CSK
Scored over 0.5
44% 4/9
89% 8/9
Scored over 1.5
22% 2/9
56% 5/9
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
Failed to score
56% 5/9
11% 1/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.33 away
Fakel conceded 5 in 5 home games
CSKA Moscow conceded 4 in 3 away games
Fakel
FAK
CSKA Moscow
CSK
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
44% 4/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
9
Without a win all 9 this season
4
Conceded in a row
9
Unbeaten all 9 this season
6
Scored in a row
5
Conceded in a row
5
Both teams scored in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Fakel
FAK
CSKA Moscow
CSK
League
Corners
Corners won
4.33
4.33
–
Corners conceded
5.22
4.11
–
Match total
9.56
8.44
8.81
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 9.5
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.78
2.00
–
Opponent cards
1.89
2.89
–
Match total
3.67
4.89
4.71
Over 3.5
67% 6/9
56% 5/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
56% 5/9
–
Shots
Shots
9.33
15.33
–
Opponent shots
14.67
12.89
–
Match total
24.00
28.22
26.08
Shots on target
On target
2.22
5.22
–
Opponent on target
4.00
3.56
–
Match total
6.22
8.78
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.67
11.67
–
Opponent fouls
11.44
14.56
–
Match total
26.11
26.22
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
1.22
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
3.22
–
Match total
3.50
4.44
–
Possession
All games
45%
52%
–
Home games
47%
54%
–
Away games
42%
46%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fakel
Scored · 6
17%
17%
0%
16%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
8%
15%
0%
23%
23%
31%
CSKA Moscow
Scored · 15
20%
7%
27%
6%
20%
20%
Conceded · 9
11%
34%
0%
11%
33%
11%
29%
Scored first
75%
50%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Fakel 2 of 7, CSKA Moscow 6 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
11%78%11%
Leading 1
Level 7
Trailing 1
1.11
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
At half-time
44%56%
Leading 4
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.89
points per game
At half-time
50%
2 of 4
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 7
0
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 3 games
7
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 8 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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