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6 Mar 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
10%
13%
77%
Akron 10%
Draw 13%
Spartak Moscow 77%
1.0 – 2.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
9% chance
Most Likely Score
75%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Akron · at home
SPA · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
1.67
2.40
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.22x
1.76x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.97x
Average: 1.38 home goals and 1.36 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Akhmat (H) 2-0 · 17 Sep 2026
Substitutes
89
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fakel (H) 1-0 · 16 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
D
D
L
W
D
D
D
L
D
D
L
L
0.89
1-5-3
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.00
0-4-0
PPG Away
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
L
W
W
2.11
6-1-2
PPG Overall
2.17
4-1-1
PPG at Home
2.00
2-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Spartak Moscow away +150% on points per game vs Akron at home (2.00 vs 0.80)
Rest & Schedule
170
days rest
Akron 2-0 Akhmat
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
171
days rest
Spartak Moscow 1-0 Fakel
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
11%
20%
0%
Goals per game
3.22
3.40
3.00
Scored
1.22
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.00
2.40
1.50
Both teams scored
56%
40%
75%
Clean sheets
22%
20%
25%
Failed to score
33%
40%
25%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
6
3
Win %
67%
67%
67%
Goals per game
2.56
2.33
3.00
Scored
1.78
1.83
1.67
Conceded
0.78
0.50
1.33
Both teams scored
56%
33%
100%
Clean sheets
44%
67%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Akron
AKR
Spartak Moscow
SPA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
100% 9/9
94%
–
Over 1.5
89% 8/9
89% 8/9
89%
79%
Over 2.5
67% 6/9
67% 6/9
67%
57%
Over 3.5
44% 4/9
0% 0/9
22%
28%
Over 4.5
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
33% 3/9
33% 3/9
33%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
56% 5/9
56% 5/9
56%
63%
BTTS & win
0% 0/9
22% 2/9
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
44% 4/9
44%
–
Akron
AKR
Spartak Moscow
SPA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
89% 8/9
78% 7/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
50%
–
Over 2.5
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
22%
–
BTTS
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
33%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games, 2.74 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.67 away
Akron scored 5 in 5 home games
Spartak Moscow scored 5 in 3 away games
Akron
AKR
Spartak Moscow
SPA
Scored over 0.5
67% 6/9
100% 9/9
Scored over 1.5
44% 4/9
56% 5/9
Scored over 2.5
11% 1/9
22% 2/9
Failed to score
33% 3/9
0% 0/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.40 at home
1.33 away
Akron conceded 12 in 5 home games
Spartak Moscow conceded 4 in 3 away games
Akron
AKR
Spartak Moscow
SPA
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
Conceded over 1.5
67% 6/9
22% 2/9
Conceded over 2.5
33% 3/9
0% 0/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
4
Scored in a row
2
Won in a row
9
Scored all 9 this season
2
Clean sheets in a row
Match Totals
Akron
AKR
Spartak Moscow
SPA
League
Corners
Corners won
4.56
6.78
–
Corners conceded
4.22
3.33
–
Match total
8.78
10.11
8.81
Over 8.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
–
Over 9.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
44% 4/9
–
Cards
Cards
3.11
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.56
4.00
–
Match total
5.67
6.00
4.71
Over 3.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
–
Over 4.5
78% 7/9
56% 5/9
–
Shots
Shots
11.78
15.00
–
Opponent shots
15.44
9.44
–
Match total
27.22
24.44
26.08
Shots on target
On target
4.00
5.00
–
Opponent on target
5.78
3.78
–
Match total
9.78
8.78
–
Fouls
Fouls
15.11
12.89
–
Opponent fouls
12.67
16.33
–
Match total
27.78
29.22
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.78
2.67
–
Opponent offsides
1.56
1.44
–
Match total
3.33
4.11
–
Possession
All games
54%
64%
–
Home games
57%
63%
–
Away games
50%
65%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Akron
Scored · 11
18%
18%
0%
9%
28%
27%
Conceded · 18
22%
17%
17%
0%
5%
39%
Spartak Moscow
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
0%
37%
Conceded · 7
43%
29%
14%
0%
14%
0%
25%
Scored first
78%
27%
Goals after 75'
38%
Scored first: Akron 2 of 8, Spartak Moscow 7 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%22%56%
Leading 2
Level 2
Trailing 5
0.89
points per game
At half-time
50%
1 of 2
Led at HT, won
40%
2 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
At half-time
33%44%22%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.44
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
3
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 4 games
4
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 8 games
6
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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