13.00
X3.34
22.61
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
27%
35%
38%
Fakel 27%
Draw 35%
Lokomotiv 38%
0.7 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
21%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FAK · at home
LOK · away
0.60
Goals scored per game
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.44x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
0.73x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.16x
Average: 1.38 home goals and 1.36 away goals per game in Premier League 2026-2027
Based on 9 + 9 Premier League 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Missing Players
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Spartak Moscow (A) 1-0 · 16 Sep 2026 · struck through = missing for this game
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Krylia Sovetov (H) 1-1 · 16 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
0.33
0-3-6
PPG Overall
0.60
0-3-2
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-4
PPG Away
D
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
0.78
1-4-4
PPG Overall
0.75
0-3-1
PPG at Home
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Lokomotiv away +33% on points per game vs Fakel at home (0.80 vs 0.60)
Rest & Schedule
24
days rest
Spartak Moscow 1-0 Fakel
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
24
days rest
Lokomotiv 1-1 Krylia Sovetov
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
5
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.11
1.60
2.75
Scored
0.67
0.60
0.75
Conceded
1.44
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
44%
40%
50%
Clean sheets
22%
40%
0%
Failed to score
56%
60%
50%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
9
4
5
Win %
11%
0%
20%
Goals per game
2.11
1.25
2.80
Scored
0.89
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.22
0.75
1.60
Both teams scored
67%
50%
80%
Clean sheets
22%
25%
20%
Failed to score
22%
50%
0%
Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fakel
FAK
Lokomotiv
LOK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
78% 7/9
89% 8/9
83%
–
Over 1.5
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
56%
79%
Over 2.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
39%
57%
Over 3.5
33% 3/9
11% 1/9
22%
28%
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
Under 2.5
56% 5/9
67% 6/9
61%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
44% 4/9
67% 6/9
56%
63%
BTTS & win
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
39%
–
Fakel
FAK
Lokomotiv
LOK
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
33% 3/9
56% 5/9
44%
–
Over 1.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
17%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
0%
–
BTTS
11% 1/9
11% 1/9
11%
–
% of each club's games · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games, 2.74 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.60 at home
1.20 away
Fakel scored 3 in 5 home games
Lokomotiv scored 6 in 5 away games
Fakel
FAK
Lokomotiv
LOK
Scored over 0.5
44% 4/9
78% 7/9
Scored over 1.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/9
0% 0/9
Failed to score
56% 5/9
22% 2/9
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.60 away
Fakel conceded 5 in 5 home games
Lokomotiv conceded 8 in 5 away games
Fakel
FAK
Lokomotiv
LOK
Conceded over 0.5
78% 7/9
78% 7/9
Conceded over 1.5
44% 4/9
33% 3/9
Conceded over 2.5
22% 2/9
11% 1/9
Clean sheets
22% 2/9
22% 2/9
Streaks
Match Totals
Fakel
FAK
Lokomotiv
LOK
League
Corners
Corners won
4.33
3.11
–
Corners conceded
5.22
4.00
–
Match total
9.56
7.11
8.81
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
33% 3/9
–
Over 9.5
67% 6/9
11% 1/9
–
Over 10.5
22% 2/9
0% 0/9
–
Cards
Cards
1.78
2.78
–
Opponent cards
1.89
1.44
–
Match total
3.67
4.22
4.71
Over 3.5
67% 6/9
44% 4/9
–
Over 4.5
11% 1/9
33% 3/9
–
Shots
Shots
9.33
12.67
–
Opponent shots
14.67
17.22
–
Match total
24.00
29.89
26.08
Shots on target
On target
2.22
2.89
–
Opponent on target
4.00
5.67
–
Match total
6.22
8.56
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.67
15.78
–
Opponent fouls
11.44
13.11
–
Match total
26.11
28.89
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
1.22
–
Match total
3.50
3.22
–
Possession
All games
45%
52%
–
Home games
47%
53%
–
Away games
42%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Premier League 2026-2027 (72 games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fakel
Scored · 6
17%
17%
0%
16%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
8%
15%
0%
23%
23%
31%
Lokomotiv
Scored · 8
25%
25%
13%
13%
12%
12%
Conceded · 11
0%
9%
0%
27%
55%
9%
29%
Scored first
88%
50%
Goals after 75'
13%
Scored first: Fakel 2 of 7, Lokomotiv 7 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
11%78%11%
Leading 1
Level 7
Trailing 1
1.11
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
At half-time
44%56%
Leading 4
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.89
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 4
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 3
0
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 4 games
0
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 7 games
15
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Premier League 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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